Steelers fans (and bettors) have never seen an underdog number like the one they face in Buffalo in Week 5, at least not since our regular season database creation in 1980.
Pittsburgh opened as 14-point dogs at Buffalo, which would surpass the 13 points they caught Sept. 6, 1992 at Houston (when they were the Oilers, not the Texans). And they have been feared in this situation through the years, double-digit dogs just 12 times since 1980 and winning outright five times.
Thursday sees plenty of UNDER streaks, the Cardinals have lost 7 in a row at home as they host unbeaten Philly, who have 5 straight at Arizona. Check out the Week 5 NFL betting trends report on key matchups and get the latest game odds and props (along with a whopper $1,000 bonus) at Draft Kings Sportsbook.
Week 5 NFL Betting Trends updated during the week
Indianapolis @ Denver -3.5, Total 43.5 – Matchup Report
Broncos are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games against an opponent in the AFC.
Colts are 10-2 SU in their last 12 Thursday road games
Colts have played UNDER in 9 straight games
UNDER is 15-6 past 21 Denver games
UNDER is 17-5 Denver’s last 22 games as the favourite.
Colts are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against Denver.
Colts are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played in week 5.
Colts are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as the underdog.
Broncos are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 Thursday games
Pittsburgh @ Buffalo -14, Total 47 – Matchup Report
UNDER is 15-3 Pittsburgh’s last 18 games vs AFC East
Bills are 15-3 SU in their last 18 home games
Steelers are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games played in Week 5.
Steelers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games against Buffalo.
Steelers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs AFC East
Steelers are 11-2 SU and 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 games played in Week 5.
Steelers have been regular season double-digit dogs just 12 times since 1980 and won outright five times.
Bills are 6-1-2 ATS past 9 as double digit chalk
Philadelphia at Arizona +5, Total 49.5 – Matchup Report
UNDER is 10-1 Arizona’s last 11 games vs NFC East division.
Cardinals lost 7 in a row SU & ATS, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games
Eagles are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games as the favourite.
Eagles are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games at Arizona.
Cardinals 6-1-1 ATS past 8 vs Eagles
Eagles 0-5 SU and ATS last 5 at Arizona
Eagles won 8 in a row SU as favorites
Cardinals are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs NFC East teams.
Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 5.
Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as the underdog.
Dallas @ LA Rams -4.5, Total 45.5 – Matchup Report
Underdog has won the past two meetings in 2019/2020
Cowboys have won 3 of past 4 games as road dogs
Cowboys just 3-8 SU past 11 games vs NFC West
Sunday Night Football Trends
Cincinnati @ Baltimore -3, Total 48 – Matchup Report
UNDER is 11-2 Cincinnati’s last 13 games.
Bengals are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 conference games
Bengals are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games.
Bengals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on the road.
Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games at Baltimore.
Ravens have lost 5 straight at home
Monday Night Football Trends
Las Vegas @ Kansas City -7, Total 51 – Matchup Report
Chiefs are 37-5 SU in their last 42 divisional games
Chiefs are 13-2 SU in their last 15 vs Las Vegas.
Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Monday.
Chiefs are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games played in week 5.
Chiefs are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games played on a Monday.
NFL Week 5 NFL betting trends archived article from Oct. 6, 2021
Seattle always wins on Thursday and usually covers as underdogs – so are the LA Rams really a great bet that everyone seems to think? What about Miami’s recent run of three SU victories in four games when they are double-digit underdogs – can that continue in Tampa Bay?
In the NFC North, the Lions never beat the Vikings, but Minnesota never covers as favorites. Check out the results of Trend Dummy’s deep database diving as we hit the first bye-week-related trend analysis as four teams are playing before a bye.
Odds are courtesy of FanDuel as of Tuesday, check them out for line moves and current bonus specials for all your DFS and football wagering needs.
Week 5 NFL Betting Trends
Thursday Night Football
LA Rams @ Seattle +2.5, Total 54.5 | Matchup Report
Seahawks won 9 straight Thursdays, 10-1 SU in their last 11 (8-1-2 ATS)
Seahawks are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games played in October.
UNDER is 10-2 LA Rams’ last 12 games played in October.
LA Rams are 4-13 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
Rams played 6 straight OVERs
Rams are 4-13 SU in their last 17 games at Seattle
Seahawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games when playing as the underdog
New York Jets @ Atlanta -3, Total 46 | Matchup Report
Jets are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games on the road.
Falcons are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 games played in October.
Falcons are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as the favorite.
UNDER is 11-3 past 14 Falcons game before a bye week
New England @ Houston +9, Total 39.5 | Matchup Report
Patriots are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games played in Week 5
UNDER is 10-2 New England’s last 12 games.
Patriots are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games played in October.
Detroit @ Minnesota -7.5, Total 49 | Matchup Report
Vikings are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games
Vikings failed to cover past 6 times as faves
Vikings are 19-4 SU in their last 23 games at home against Detroit.
Vikings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games played in week 5.
Lions are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games
Lions are 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Minnesota
Lions are 1-13 SU in their last 14 divisional games
New Orleans @ Washington +1, Total 44.5 | Matchup Report
Saints are 11-2 SU past 13 seasons before a bye week
UNDER is 11-1 Washington’s last 12 games played in Week 5.
OVER is 10-1 Washington’s last 11 games against New Orleans.
Saints are 15-1 SU in their last 16 games played in October (17-4 ATS past 21)
Past 6 meetings all played OVER
Saints are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games on the road.
Past 7 meetings here all played OVER
Miami @ Tampa Bay -10.5, Total 48 | Matchup Report
Dolphins have won outright 3 of the past 4 times as double-digit dogs.
Dolphins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as the underdog, 18-6 ATS past 24
Bucs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against Miami.
Bucs are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games played in October
Green Bay @ Cincinnati +3, Total 51.5 | Matchup Report
OVER is 15-6 Green Bay’s last 21 games played in Week 5.
Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Sunday home games
Denver @ Pittsburgh -1, Total 40 | Matchup Report
UNDER is 9-3 Denver’s last 12 games.
Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on the road
Last 6 meetings at Pittsburgh all played OVER
Steelers are 11-2 SU, 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games played in October.
Steelers are 18-5-2 ATS in their last 25 games played in week 5.
Steelers failed to cover past 6 times as favorites
Philadelphia @ Carolina -3.5, Total 45 | Matchup Report
Eagles are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on the road.
Cleveland @ LA Chargers -2.5, Total 47 Draft Kings | Matchup Report
Browns are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games against an opponent in the AFC West division, 5-13 ATS past 18.
Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against LA Chargers.
Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.
Browns lost 6 straight SU at Chargers
Chargers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games
UNDER is 16-6 LA Chargers’ last 22 games at home.
Buffalo @ Kansas City -2.5, Total 56.5 at FanDuel | Matchup Report
Bills are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games
Chiefs are 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games.
Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Buffalo.
Bills 5-2 ATS past 7 visits to KC
Bills are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games
Bills have played 5 straight OVERs when underdogs
Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games at home, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 conference games
Monday Night Football Trends
Indianapolis @ Baltimore -7, Total 45.5 at FanDuel | Matchup Report
Ravens are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games against Indianapolis.
UNDER i2 12-1 past meetings of Ravens and Colts
Indianapolis are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games as underdog.
Colts are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against Baltimore, 6-1 ATS past 7 at Baltimore
Colts are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games played in October.
Colts are 16-3 SU in their last 19 games played in week 5.
Colts are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games played on a Monday.
Ravens are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 conference games
Ravens have won 7 straight October games
More Week 5 NFL betting trends coming soon….
Archived Week 5 NFL betting trends article from Oct. 7, 2020
Feeling OVERwhelmed with all the OVERs happening? You might want to get used it – and turn a profit from it – for Thursday Night here in Week 5 as Tampa Bay has a ton of trends leaning that way.
The 39-23-1 run for OVERs through the first four weeks of the season is just one storyline for bettors. And Week 5 sees the introduction of pre- and post-bye-week handicapping research, which sees New Orleans as a team to consider strongly this week.
Week 5 sees some bad teams as big favorites (1-3 Dallas is -10 vs the Giants, 0-4 Houston is -6.5 vs Jacksonville and 2-2 Arizona is -7.5 at the Jets) and at least one good team that is an underdog (3-1 Cleveland is +2.5 at home to the Colts).
So whether you like the 17-1 ATS trend for the Saints or the 14-0 SU Baltimore run that turns into a 3-11 ATS run, we’ve got something for every trend lover in Week 5. Check out odds and welcome bonus offers at FanDuel and Draft Kings.