Sep 13, 2020; Inglewood, California, USA; Dallas Cowboys cornerback Chidobe Awuzie (24) hangs on to the ball after he intercepted a pass intended for Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Van Jefferson (12) in the second half of the game at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Week 5 NFL Picks

We’re back with our Week 5 NFL picks, guiding you with our analysis and selections against the spread every week. After a strong showing with our first four weeks, here are the next batch of predictions, with odds coming from FanDuel Sportsbook.

For matchup reports and stat breakdowns of every game (along with live updated football betting lines), click here.

Miami Dolphins (-3) at New York Jets: Dolphins

The Dolphins are a very capable team regardless of whether Tua Tagovailoa is in the lineup. Teddy Bridgewater is good enough to guide them against an inferior team that hardly showed up for its last home game.

Tennessee Titans (-2.5) at Washington Commanders: Commanders

Tennessee has salvaged its season the last couple weeks, but the Titans aren’t especially better than Washington and the Commanders are desperate at home here. Washington should win outright but I’d buy up to +3 to be safe, if possible.

Philadelphia Eagles (-5) at Arizona Cardinals: Cardinals

Parity has hit everyone but Philly this season, and even if that bubble isn’t burst here, I think a very skilled Cardinals team can keep this close at home. No way in hell the Eagles are eight-ish points better than Arizona.

Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams (-5.5): Cowboys

Dallas has hung in well without Dak Prescott and they could even have their star signal-caller back here. Why are they getting more than a handful of points from a Rams team that hasn’t been impressive and is on short rest following a loss to the 49ers?

Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-7): Raiders

Kansas City is coming off a nice win but hasn’t been consistent this season, while the Raiders really need this against a familiar opponent. They’ll hang in a big spot. They’re too talented not to.

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Week 5 NFL Picks archived article from Oct. 11, 2021

2021 RECORD: 35-29

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LA RAMS (-2.5) AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: SEAHAWKS

I don’t care if the Rams have had Seattle’s number of late. The Seahawks aren’t likely to fall to 2-3 with the league’s highest-rated passer, especially with a second consecutive home loss in front of a cacophonous post-COVID crowd in the Pacific Northwest, and especially with the Rams operating on the road on short rest after an ugly showing against the Arizona Cardinals.

NY JETS AT ATLANTA FALCONS (-3): FALCONS

By no means do I trust the Falcons, but let’s not pretend the Jets are good based on one shocking home victory over a depleted opponent. In London, they’ll likely return to being the team that was outscored 51-6 in the previous two weeks.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT CAROLINA PANTHERS (-3.5): PANTHERS

The hook scares me here but the Panthers have a shot at getting Christian McCaffrey back and the Eagles have just looked so ragged during an 0-3 stretch both straight-up and against the spread. They should be getting at least a handful of points from a strong all-around opponent on the road.

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-3) AT CINCINNATI BENGALS: BENGALS

The Bengals haven’t lost by more than three points this season. I think they can hang with the depleted Packers at home. It’s as simple as that.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-8.5) AT HOUSTON TEXANS: PATRIOTS

Bill Belichick eats rookie quarterbacks for breakfast, and he’ll be fired up to crush the joke that is the Houston Texans with Davis Mills at quarterback. After Houston fell 40-0 last week, this should be a double-digit spread. The Patriots won’t mess around following that loss to Tom Brady and Co.

TENNESSEE TITANS (-4) AT JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: TITANS

The Titans also won’t want to screw around against a bad AFC South team after a disappointing Week 4 loss. They won’t leave anything to chance against a Jaguars squad that had lost seven consecutive games by double-digit margins before losing by a field goal to the Bengals in Week 4. The Urban Meyer mess won’t likely help Jacksonville either. Here comes their 20th straight loss. Don’t expect it to be close.

DENVER BRONCOS AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-1): STEELERS

The Broncos will likely have to use the unreliable Drew Lock against a desperate, experienced and defensively opportunistic Steelers squad on the road. Their defense has been good but it’s quite banged up right now. This just isn’t a good spot, and it’s weird Steelers backers are only giving up a point.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-2) AT WASHINGTON: WASHINGTON

It’s also weird Washington backers are getting two points at home from a Saints squad that has been comically inconsistent. This is a horrible matchup with the New Orleans offense, which features a famously mistake-prone quarterback and a gap at left tackle thanks to Terron Armstead’s injury. Have fun, Chase Young and Co.

DETROIT LIONS AT MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-8.5): VIKINGS

The Lions were already a mess before getting smashed by some key injuries. And yes, they’ve had some fight in them under new head coach Dan Campbell this year, but their spirited efforts have come at home. On the road, this should be a blowout.

MIAMI DOLPHINS AT TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-10): DOLPHINS

The Bucs secondary is in brutal shape. The Dolphins might not have the passing game to take full advantage of that, but Brian Flores is a great coach and his team is desperate. They’ll find a way to put up a fight against an opponent that might overlook them after last week’s high-profile meeting with the Patriots.

CLEVELAND BROWNS AT LA CHARGERS (-2.5): BROWNS

I have no feel for this game and wouldn’t bet it, but I do still believe the Browns are the better team — even if they’re not exactly playing that way. Baker Mayfield has a bounce-back in him, and this could feel like a bit of a home game anyway for Cleveland.

CHICAGO BEARS AT LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (-5): BEARS

Whaaaaaat? Whyyyyy? Who believes the Raiders are several points better than the Bears? Chicago’s defense is the best unit in this game by a wide margin, and Justin Fields should be able to pick apart a depleted secondary. The Raiders fall outright on short rest.

NY GIANTS AT DALLAS COWBOYS (-7): GIANTS

I don’t bother with these NFC East guessing games, and based on this line, oddsmakers feel the same way. The most likely outcome is indeed Dallas by a touchdown, but I’ll roll the dice on an anti-trend play because the Cowboys are due for a dud and the Giants know them well.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT ARIZONA CARDINALS (-5.5): 49ERS

The 49ers are banged up, but they really need this game and the Cardinals are also due to hit a speed bump. Arizona might still win this, but 5.5 points is far too much.

BUFFALO BILLS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-2.5): CHIEFS

You’re telling me I only have to lay 2.5 points with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in prime time at Arrowhead in what likely feels like a must-win situation? I believe in the Bills, but I believe even more in Mahomes and Reid under those circumstances.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT BALTIMORE RAVENS (-6.5): RAVENS

The Ravens beat the Chiefs in prime time at this site a few weeks ago. And while this spread isn’t tiny, Baltimore is very good at winning big. I’m not sure the Colts can sustain the energy they found suddenly last week, especially in this spot.

Check out sportsbook bonuses and terrific game props and special betting offers at FanDuel, official betting partners of the NFL.

Archived Week 5 NFL picks article from Oct. 9, 2020

(Sunday’s scheduled games between the Buffalo Bills and Tennessee Titans and the Denver Broncos and New England Patriots are off the board due to COVID-19-related concerns.)

2020 RECORD: 37-24-2

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-3.5) AT CHICAGO BEARS: BUCCANEERS

Tom Brady’s top four receivers are dealing with injuries and tight end O.J. Howard is out as well. The Bears aren’t trustworthy, but that hook is too much to sacrifice considering Tampa Bay’s state on the road on short rest.

CAROLINA PANTHERS AT ATLANTA FALCONS (-1.5): FALCONS

Law of averages is a factor here. The Falcons offense is primed to bust out against one of the league’s least talented defenses and Christian McCaffrey’s absence is destined to catch up with the Panthers on offense. Falcons win a close one to avoid 0-5.

CINCINNATI BENGALS AT BALTIMORE RAVENS (-12): RAVENS

This goes out the window if Lamar Jackson’s knee injury factors in on Sunday, but that’s not supposed to be serious and Joe Burrow could be in trouble against that experienced Baltimore defensive front. All three of the Ravens’ wins have come by 14-plus points, and this shouldn’t be any different.

LOS ANGELES RAMS (-7.5) AT WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM: RAMS

Aaron Donald against a Washington offensive line missing Brandon Scherff? Sean McVay’s offense against a WFT defensive front likely missing Chase Young? Watch for the Rams to bounce back in a big way from a dicey performance against the New York Giants.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-12): CHIEFS

Keeping this one simple. The Raiders are dealing with too many injuries on both sides of the ball, and the Chiefs outscored them 68-19 in two 2019 meetings. So long as Kansas City doesn’t get trapped between two big games against the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills, this should be a blowout.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-7.5): STEELERS

Philadelphia is getting healthier, but that’s not happening fast enough to keep up with a well-rested, opportunistic Pittsburgh squad on the road. The fiercest defense in the NFL should dominate a decimated Eagles offensive line in a one-sided affair.

MIAMI DOLPHINS AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-9): DOLPHINS

This is the most perplexing line of the week, and it keeps growing despite the fact the public is all over Miami. The 49ers aren’t nine points better than the Dolphins with a limited home-field advantage. They’re getting healthier but remain pretty depleted and the feisty, improved Dolphins might get top corner Byron Jones back. This will be close.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-2) AT CLEVELAND BROWNS: BROWNS

Why are the Colts laying points on the road against an offense that has been unstoppable and a defense that at least features the defensive player of the year frontrunner in Myles Garrett? Throw in that key Colts linebackers Darius Leonard and Bobby Okereke are both dealing with injuries and this is a no-brainer. The Browns should be favored by at least a field goal.

NEW YORK GIANTS AT DALLAS COWBOYS (-9.5): GIANTS

The Cowboys haven’t won a game by more than a single point this season, so I’m not spotting a division rival nearly 10 in this spot. The Giants might have the worst offense in the NFL, but Daniel Jones should keep his team in it against the worst defense in the NFL and New York’s D hasn’t been too bad of late. This should be way closer than the line indicates.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-7): VIKINGS

Minnesota’s offense is gaining a ton of steam and should have plenty of opportunities to pick on a banged-up Seattle secondary. The Vikes are also vulnerable through the air and facing the league’s hottest quarterback, so expect a shootout here, but it’s hard to see the Seahawks running away without their famous 12th man at CenturyLink Field.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-7.5): SAINTS

The New Orleans offense is rolling and I’m not sure we can trust Justin Herbert just yet in a big spot like this. The Saints are also getting healthier while the Chargers’ many injuries could soon catch up to them. On the road in prime time against a determined, deep and experienced opponent, that time could be now.

Brad Gagnon has been passionate about both sports and mass media since he was in diapers -- a passion that won't die until he's in them again. He was a lead contributor to an earlier incarnation of NationalFootballPost.com and was happy to return when new management revived the brand in 2020. Based in Toronto, he's covered the NFL since 2008 and has been a national NFL writer at Bleacher Report since 2012. He despises all 32 NFL teams equally but remains a fan of the Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He can be reached at Brad@NationalFootballPost.com

Upcoming Games

Dec 8th, 8:15 PM

Las Vegas -5.5 -110

LA Rams +5.5 -110

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Dec 11th, 1:00 PM

Houston +14 -110

Dallas -14 -110

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Dec 11th, 1:00 PM

Jacksonville +3.5 -110

Tennessee -3.5 -110

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NY Jets +9 -110

Buffalo -9 -110

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Cleveland +4 -110

Cincinnati -4 -110

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Minnesota -3 -110

Detroit +3 -110

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Philadelphia -6 -110

NY Giants +6 -110

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Baltimore -4.5 -110

Pittsburgh +4.5 -110

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Kansas City -6.5 -110

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Carolina +7 -110

Seattle -7 -110

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Tampa Bay +6 -110

San Francisco -6 -110

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Dec 11th, 8:20 PM

Miami -3.5 -110

LA Chargers +3.5 -110

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Dec 12th, 8:15 PM

New England -2 -110

Arizona +2 -110

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San Francisco -1.5 -110

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