Week 7 OU Predictions
Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for Week 7 of the 2023 NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or fantasy, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on over/unders.
Here are several totals for this week that are worthy of your attention.
Also check out our live NFL odds and full betting matchup reports on every Week 7 game.
LA Chargers @ Arizona 44 UNDER
The Chargers continue to emphasize defense and continue to play UNDER. There is little reason to believe that this game gets out of the 30s in Week 7.
The UNDER is now 16-5 in LA’s last 21 games even though Week 6 saw an OVER with just 39 points scored. The number has been bet down since opening at 46.5 and its still not low enough.
Both teams are consistent MNF UNDER bets and the UNDER is 9-2 in 11 games with the Chargers are favorites. We go UNDER 44.
Baltimore @ Tampa Bay 49.5 OVER
We have been semi-blindly betting UNDER every Sunday Nighter because the run is insane (42 of past 51 games). But it ends here.
Tampa can score and the Ravens boast perhaps the most complete offense in the league. The Bucs have played 5 straight MNF UNDERs and are 9-2 to the UNDER as home dogs, but we see both trends going to the scrap heap here.
Hell we wouldn’t be completely shocked to see each team go OVER 49.5 points themselves, say 55-52?
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Archived NFL Week 7 OVER UNDER picks article from Oct. 22, 2023
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (40): Under
The Patriots’ second-worst-ranked scoring offense has put up just 20 total points the last three weeks, while Buffalo’s last two outings have averaged just 39.0 points. Both defenses are vulnerable and you never know when the Bills might explode, but it would take a lot for this to become a high-scoring affair.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Rams (44): Over
Sometimes you have to make gut picks. Both teams are healthier than they’ve been all season and I gotta believe Pittsburgh offensive coordinator Matt Canada will have that offense ready to do something coming off the bye. The Rams offense is also coming off two promising performances in a three-week span, so I’m expecting both teams to easily hit the 20s here.
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (47.5): Over
Each of the last five meetings between these teams has contained more than 50 points. Both offenses are obviously high-powered, but this total is low because neither has been quite right this season. This is an obvious opportunity for both to explode again in another classic Chargers-Chiefs shootout.
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Archived Week 7 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Oct. 22, 2022
Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals (47): UNDER
I think folks are underestimating these defenses. Neither are elite, but the Falcons haven’t given up more than 23 points since Week 2 and the Bengals have surrendered more than 23 just once all season. This one might not even hit the 40s, but 47 is far too high regardless.
Green Bay Packers at Washington Commanders (41): OVER
The Packers are still the Packers and Aaron Rodgers is still Aaron Rodgers. They usually bounce back from poor offensive performances, at least to some degree. So it’d be shocking if they didn’t at least hit the mid-20s here, and Washington is also due against a defense that has given up 24-plus points in three straight weeks. We’re going anti-trend with the Commanders, who have been in a rut offensively.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (39.5): OVER
Same logic here. The Bucs are still the Bucs and Tom Brady is still Tom Brady, and they’re due after a sluggish start to the season. Meanwhile, the Panthers have allowed 24 or more points in three consecutive outings. This one should at least reach the 40 plateau.
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Week 7 NFL OVER UNDER picks archived article from Oct. 23, 2021
Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for Week 7 of the NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or fantasy, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on over/unders.
Here are several totals for this week (lines courtesy of FanDuel and Draft Kings) that are worthy of your attention.
Also check out our live NFL odds and full betting matchup reports on every Week 7 game.
Week 7 NFL OVER UNDER picks
2021 RECORD: 11-17
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS AT TENNESSEE TITANS (58) – Bet FanDuel
This is worthy of analysis simply because it’s one of the 15 highest totals in NFL history. Nine of the previous 14 games with totals of 58 or higher went over. The reality is there are some games that just can’t get high enough, and this is one of them because Derrick Henry should have a field day with Kansas City’s weak run defense while Patrick Mahomes should also dominate a mediocre Tennessee defense in a crucial game for him and his team. This one might hit the 70s.
CAROLINA PANTHERS AT NEW YORK GIANTS (42.5) – Bet Draft Kings
The injury-plagued Giants defense was an utter mess last week. And while the Panthers defense has come back to earth after a solid start, Daniel Jones and Co. are just what the doctor ordered. Meanwhile, Christian McCaffrey remains out for the Carolina offense, and Sam Darnold is doing Sam Darnold things again lately. I don’t think this one hits the 40s unless Jones and Darnold throw a lot of pick-sixes or make multiple huge mistakes to give the other team short fields.
WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM AT GREEN BAY PACKERS (48.5) – Bet FanDuel
The Washington defense isn’t close to as bad as it has looked on paper, and the Packers have actually been held to 27 or fewer points in four of their six games. Throw in that Washington’s offense is a depleted mess and I’m not sure this one hits the 40 mark.
DETROIT LIONS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS (51) – Bet Rivers Michigan
One more under for you out in L.A. Sure, the Rams could put up 40 on their own here, but this should be so one-sided that they’re likely to take their foot off the gas pedal in the second half. The Lions have averaged just 14.0 points per game the last three weeks, and now they face one of the top defenses in football on the road. This feels like a 30-10-type affair.
Archived Week 7 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Oct. 21, 2020
Last week’s record: 12-8-2
NEW YORK GIANTS AT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (44.5)
This one is confusing. Both teams are bad, but that doesn’t mean this will be a low-scoring game. The Giants have actually averaged 27 points per game the last two weeks but have also surrendered 28 per outing. The Philly defense has given up 68 points in two games and the Eagles offense has scored at least 23 points in four consecutive weeks.
Both teams should easily hit the mid-20s (and the desperate Eagles should push 30) as this cruises over.
