Oct 18, 2020; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22) runs with the ball against the Houston Texans during second half at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-USA TODAY Sports

Week 7 NFL Picks: Titans, 49ers, Bears win

ATS Predictions

Trust the Buffalo Bills as double-digit road favorites? Fade the hot Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee? Don’t believe Kansas City will blow out Denver?

Check the Week 7 NFL picks here for a quick analysis and prediction on every game. Odds courtesy of BetRivers and SugarHouse.

And visit the NFL odds and matchup pages here at NFP for line updates and full statistical breakdowns of every game, every week.

2020 RECORD: 51-35-2

NEW YORK GIANTS AT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-4.5): GIANTS

The Giants defense hasn’t been bad at all, the Eagles offense is a depleted mess and I don’t trust Carson Wentz to cover more than about a field goal. With a limited home-field advantage, I’m not laying 4.5 with Philly and the Giants road and dog trends are impressive lately.

BUFFALO BILLS (-13.5) AT NEW YORK JETS: BILLS

This is a crazy-high spread. The highest for the Bills on the road in the last quarter-century, in fact. But how can anyone trust a Jets team that has practically thrown in the towel with an 0-6 ATS record and six losses by nine-plus points? Can’t possibly roll with Gang Green at this point, even if oddsmakers are trying to juice this thing.

CAROLINA PANTHERS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-7.5): SAINTS

Not having Christian McCaffrey is eventually going to catch up with the Panthers, who don’t have the defensive talent to keep up with Drew Brees and Alvin Kamara. The Saints should also have Michael Thomas back in a home game that could become an old-fashioned Superdome blowout with some fans in the stands.

CLEVELAND BROWNS (-3) AT CINCINNATI BENGALS: BENGALS

The Bengals’ pass-protection unit hung in against a tough Indianapolis Colts defensive front and there’s not a lot of depth beyond Myles Garrett up front for the Browns. I think Cincinnati will have learned from a September loss to Cleveland and will keep this damn close. The Cincy defense is a problem but I’m not sure an injured Baker Mayfield can exploit that.

DALLAS COWBOYS AT WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM (-1): WASHINGTON

The Cowboys offensive line is even more of a disaster than it was before and Washington’s defensive front looks primed to rock with Chase Young getting healthier, Montez Sweat coming on and Jonathan Allen looking strong as well. Washington should at least be laying a field goal at home.

DETROIT LIONS AT ATLANTA FALCONS (-2.5): FALCONS

I don’t feel good about either team, or this pick, but the Lions are super banged up and Atlanta seems to have life post-Dan Quinn. There’s little reason the Falcons shouldn’t be laying at least a field goal at home.

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-3.5) AT HOUSTON TEXANS: TEXANS

The Packers were a disaster without left tackle David Bakhtiari last week and he might still be out in Week 7. Meanwhile, the Texans have been competitive since firing Bill O’Brien. Deshaun Watson should enable Houston to keep this within a field goal at home.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT TENNESSEE TITANS (-1.5): TITANS

Losing star linebacker Devin Bush and another injury to guard David DeCastro could be problematic for the Steelers on the road. This should be a close game but Tennessee might be better-equipped to deal with the loss of left tackle Taylor Lewan. Titans by a field goal at home.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-3.5) AT ARIZONA CARDINALS: SEAHAWKS

The Seahawks have covered the spread just once in their last seven meetings with Arizona, but now the Cards are going on short rest and the Seahawks have had two weeks to prepare. I’d try to buy back half a point to be safe here, but Seattle seems like a safe bet. The Seahawks have the talent up front to contain Kyler Murray, and I still don’t believe in Arizona’s defense.

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-7.5): CHARGERS

The Chargers are coming off a bye, so rookie sensation Justin Herbert has had some time to prepare for the league’s worst pass defense. That could be dangerous. The Jags have lost four straight games by eight-plus points, and that should become five in a row here.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-9.5) AT DENVER BRONCOS: BRONCOS

The Chiefs have been outscored in divisional matchups thus far in 2020, and the Broncos are quietly 4-1 against the spread. Denver might also get A.J. Bouye back to deal with Patrick Mahomes, while K.C.’s weak run defense could have trouble controlling a solid Broncos running game. Denver will hang around.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-1.5): 49ERS

This is scary because Bill Belichick will do everything in his power to keep the Pats from falling to 2-4, but the 49ers — even in their current depleted state — are so much stronger than New England. I’ll take Kyle Shanahan and Jimmy Garoppolo over Belichick and Cam Newton right now.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-4) AT LAS VEGAS RAIDERS: BUCS

Even if the COVID-19-impacted Raiders offensive line is able to participate in this game, Tampa Bay’s fantastic run defense is likely to shut down Josh Jacobs and put it all on Derek Carr. That’s not ideal, and Bucs back Ronald Jones II is heating up just in time to face a bad run defense. Would prefer this be a three-point spread but I’m still on Tampa. The talent gap is glaring.

CHICAGO BEARS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS (-6): BEARS

Why the hell are the Rams laying six points with limited home-field advantage? There will be no fans present, Chicago’s defense is superb and the 5-1 Bears have a ton of fight in them. Look closely and the Rams have been extremely flat the last four weeks. This should be close to a pick’em.

Brad Gagnon has been passionate about both sports and mass media since he was in diapers -- a passion that won't die until he's in them again. He was a lead contributor to an earlier incarnation of NationalFootballPost.com and was happy to return when new management revived the brand in 2020. Based in Toronto, he's covered the NFL since 2008 and has been a national NFL writer at Bleacher Report since 2012. He despises all 32 NFL teams equally but remains a fan of the Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He can be reached at Brad@NationalFootballPost.com

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