Week 8 NFL OVER UNDER picks

October 28, 2023 - Brad Gagnon

Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for Week 8 of the NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or fantasy, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on Week 8 OVER UNDER picks.

Here are several totals for this week at Draft Kings that are worthy of your attention. We look at the Broncos Chiefs divisional clash, as well as the Eagles and Commanders and finally the Patriots Dolphins – all divisional matchups with plenty of betting history to draw on.

For Week 8 trends on every game and live updated NFL odds and matchup reports, check out the NFP NFL section.

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders (43.5): Under

Washington’s got plenty of talent on defense, and that unit has finally shown up with just 30 points allowed total the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia defense has surrendered 20 or fewer points in five of seven games this season. Throw in that the Commanders offense is mediocre at best while the Eagles have lacked consistency and this doesn’t feel like a game that will hit the 40s.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (47): Over

The Patriots and Bills just combined for 54 points, and New England’s defense has struggled the last month or so in general. Meanwhile, the Dolphins offense should be inspired to get back on track at home, and that defense can be had. It has given up more than 30 points three times already this season. This one should hit the 50s.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (47): Under

The Chiefs defense hasn’t given up more than 21 points all season, and I think they’ll struggle to pull away from a desperate and still-talented team on the road. Denver’s last two outings have averaged just 31.5 total points so this jump into the high 40s is asking for a lot.

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Archived Week 8 OVER UNDER picks article from Oct 27, 2022

Denver Broncos at Jacksonville Jaguars (39.5): OVER

I know Russell Wilson isn’t 100 percent and wasn’t crushing it when he was, but we’re overdoing it with this total below 40. Wilson should be back, the Broncos really need this and every Jags game outside of Jacksonville this season has featured at least 48 points. This one’s in London.

Read also Trend Dummy’s Denver Jacksonville betting preview with his pick on the game.

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (41): UNDER

The Panthers haven’t scored more than 22 points since Week 1, while the Falcons have scored 17 or fewer in two of their last three games. Carolina also gave up just three points to Tom Brady’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week, and the Falcons defense hasn’t been as bad as expected. I don’t think this one hits the 40s.

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (43): OVER

The Rams are starting to get into a bit of an offensive flow, and now they’re well-rested but desperate at home. Meanwhile, we know San Francisco has the offensive weapons to light it up, and the 49ers are also desperate after surrendering 44 points at home last week. This is simply too low.

Trend Dummy points to UNDER trends for both teams, but not when they get together here in Week 8.

Archived Week 8 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Oct. 27, 2021

2021 RECORD: 14-18

Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions: 48.5

I know both of these defenses are pretty bad, but this total is still curiously high considering that the Eagles have scored more than 22 points just once in their last six games while the Lions have failed to hit the 20-point mark in six consecutive outings. Both might sneak into the 20-range Sunday, but I can’t see either pushing close to 30.

New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers: 49

The Patriots have somewhat quietly scored 108 points in their last three games, while the Chargers have allowed 76 in their last two. L.A.’s stacked offense should also be inspired at home to get it back together with two weeks to prepare following an ugly Week 6 performance. I wouldn’t be surprised to see both teams hit the 30s here.

Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings: 55

The Cowboys have the NFL’s highest-scoring offense, while the Vikings should be fired up on two weeks’ rest for a critical prime-time game against a beatable defense. The Vikes scored 34 in Carolina before their bye, and they should make a run at the 30s again here. This one should sail over that total.

Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets: 43

The Bengals have a top-five scoring defense while the Jets are the lowest-scoring team in the NFL. Sure, their defense is a mess too and Cincinnati can light up the scoreboard, but this is a potential trap for a young Cincy team on the road.

I wouldn’t be surprised if the offense hit a bit of a speed bump. Alternatively, it’s possible they get an early grip on a horrible opponent and coast from there. Either way, this one should fall short of the 40s.

Odds info courtesy of FanDuel as of Tuesday, check for updates and their huge new customer bonuses.

Archived Week 8 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Oct. 29, 2020

Last week’s record: 12-11-2

October 28, 2023 - Brad Gagnon

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT DETROIT LIONS (50.5)

The Colts defense has fallen off after an extremely strong start, the Lions defense continues to be untrustworthy and Detroit might have gained some momentum with a last-second victory over the Atlanta Falcons in Week 7. I’m expecting these two to duke it out offensively, with both flirting with the 30-point plateau.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT BUFFALO BILLS (43.5)

The Patriots should be desperate here, and that defense is still pretty talented. They should be able to keep a familiar opponent in check, especially considering Buffalo has scored 18 or fewer points in three consecutive games. But the Bills defense just dominated the New York Jets and New England has scored just 28 total points since Week 4. This feels like a 20-17-type game.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT BALTIMORE RAVENS (46.5)

Pittsburgh has scored at least 26 points in every game this season, while Baltimore has scored at least 27 points in five of six games. Both defenses are solid, but both can also set up their offenses with opportunistic plays. This should cruise over as both teams hit the high-20s.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT DENVER BRONCOS (44.5)

The Chargers could come close to this total on their own. Their offense under Justin Herbert still isn’t getting enough credit, and the Broncos have surrendered 27.4 points per game since Week 2. That offense is a mess but it could bounce back a bit against a shorthanded defense, and it might not need much to push this close to 50.