INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT DETROIT LIONS (50.5)
The Colts defense has fallen off after an extremely strong start, the Lions defense continues to be untrustworthy and Detroit might have gained some momentum with a last-second victory over the Atlanta Falcons in Week 7. I’m expecting these two to duke it out offensively, with both flirting with the 30-point plateau.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT BUFFALO BILLS (43.5)
The Patriots should be desperate here, and that defense is still pretty talented. They should be able to keep a familiar opponent in check, especially considering Buffalo has scored 18 or fewer points in three consecutive games. But the Bills defense just dominated the New York Jets and New England has scored just 28 total points since Week 4. This feels like a 20-17-type game.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT BALTIMORE RAVENS (46.5)
Pittsburgh has scored at least 26 points in every game this season, while Baltimore has scored at least 27 points in five of six games. Both defenses are solid, but both can also set up their offenses with opportunistic plays. This should cruise over as both teams hit the high-20s.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT DENVER BRONCOS (44.5)
The Chargers could come close to this total on their own. Their offense under Justin Herbert still isn’t getting enough credit, and the Broncos have surrendered 27.4 points per game since Week 2. That offense is a mess but it could bounce back a bit against a shorthanded defense, and it might not need much to push this close to 50.