Week 8 NFL Picks

We’ll be here to guide you with weekly picks against the spread every week, and we’re still well above .500 approaching the midway pole. Here are 14 fresh takes for Week 8, with odds coming from FanDuel Sportsbook and Draft Kings Sportsbook.

GREEN BAY PACKERS AT ARIZONA CARDINALS (-6): CARDINALS

The Packers have covered or pushed in each of their last nine prime-time games, but they’re extremely shorthanded and running into a juggernaut on the road on short rest. Arizona should be laying a full touchdown.

LOS ANGELES RAMS (-14) AT HOUSTON TEXANS: TEXANS

In two recent games as 14-plus-point favorites, the Rams are 1-1 straight-up and 0-2 against the spread with a scoring margin of only plus-six. Houston should put up a fight at home in Tyrod Taylor’s return.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT CLEVELAND BROWNS (-3.5): STEELERS

Too many injury questions for the Browns, and the scrappy Steelers always find a way to compete. They’ve won back-to-back and are healthier and more rested. This’ll be a field-goal game.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-3.5) AT DETROIT LIONS: LIONS

The Lions aren’t a significantly worse team than Philadelphia on paper. They play hard and should also be able to keep this within a field goal at home.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-3.5) AT CHICAGO BEARS: BEARS

This has almost nothing to do with Chicago and everything to do with the fact the 49ers have no business laying more than a field goal on the road right now. They haven’t won a game since Week 2. Vegas is trying to dupe you with some of these hooks.

CAROLINA PANTHERS AT ATLANTA FALCONS (-3): FALCONS

I wouldn’t touch this game with a 10-foot pole if I had the choice, but I’m not backing Carolina’s offense right now. I’ll take the home team with only a field goal on the line, even if Atlanta by three is by far the most likely result.

MIAMI DOLPHINS AT BUFFALO BILLS (-14): BILLS

The Bills crushed the Dolphins in Miami earlier this year. Now, they’re at home and coming off a bye week, and they should be motivated after a tough loss to the Titans. Will Miami be motivated? Their season is probably already over. This should be another Buffalo blowout.

CINCINNATI BENGALS (-10.5) AT NEW YORK JETS: BENGALS

I don’t feel comfortable backing the Bengals as a double-digit road fave for only the second time in franchise history. New York is at home and could benefit from backdoor business against an inexperienced opponent that might overlook an inferior Jets squad. I wouldn’t be this though.

TENNESSEE TITANS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-1): COLTS

The Colts have the better quarterback, the stronger DVOA total at Football Outsiders and they’re just about as hot as Tennessee right now. They also need this more. And while it’s possible Derrick Henry will do Derrick Henry things and make me regret this, I’m backing the home squad.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-6): CHARGERS

Also scary betting against Bill Belichick with six points, especially considering the Pats are coming off a huge win and the Bolts are coming off a huge loss. But L.A. is on extra rest and Justin Herbert should be inspired to pick on a defense that just lost key corner Jonathan Jones.

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-3): SEAHAWKS

So many garbage games with oddsmakers guessing or settling this week. The Jaguars haven’t won on American soil since last September so I’ll roll with the home team with just a field goal on the line.

WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM AT DENVER BRONCOS (-3): BRONCOS 

Another example here. Nobody can trust either team, but Washington looks shot and the Broncos are coming in on extra rest.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-5.5) AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: BUCCANEERS

The Bucs are starting to dominate now, while the Saints are completely unreliable. They’ve lost another key offensive lineman in Andrus Peat, while Tampa Bay is getting Rob Gronkowski back. This should be at least a touchdown spread.

DALLAS COWBOYS (-2.5) AT MINNESOTA VIKINGS: COWBOYS

La’el Collins and Michael Gallup could be back for the Cowboys, who are a whole lot more than a handful of points better than the Vikings. Minnesota barely beat the Lions and Panthers before its bye. Let’s not get carried away.

NEW YORK GIANTS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-9.5): CHIEFS

The Chiefs’ recent struggles and a shocking Week 7 Giants win work to give Kansas City good value here. With so much to prove, no way I’m rolling against Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid in prime time at home.

Archived Week 8 NFL Betting Picks from Nov. 1, 2021

2020 RECORD: 56-43-3

ATLANTA FALCONS AT CAROLINA PANTHERS (-2): PANTHERS

I don’t trust the Falcons enough to get behind them as just a two-point road ‘dog, especially on short rest. Plus, Carolina might have Christian McCaffrey back. The Panthers should win, and I’m not getting cute with such a small line. Read our Falcons Panthers pick article for more a deeper dive into the Thursday Night matchup.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-3) AT DETROIT LIONS: LIONS

This is certainly a low-confidence pick because the Lions aren’t trustworthy either, but Detroit has lost just once since Week 3 and has led by double digits in every game it has played this season. I’ll gladly take a field goal in the Lions’ favor at home, but watch the line moves for Indiana bettors.

LOS ANGELES RAMS (-3.5) AT MIAMI DOLPHINS: DOLPHINS

I can’t justify laying more than a field goal with an overrated Rams team that has cruised through a weak schedule. Miami is gaining steam, coming off a bye and ready to unveil Tua Tagovailoa before a top-heavy defense that has no idea what to expect. This should be close, and I’d give some thought to Miami on the moneyline.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS AT CLEVELAND BROWNS (-2.5): BROWNS

I have zero feel for this game and wouldn’t be shocked if it went either way but the Browns are more talented and laying less than a field goal at home so the choice is obvious.

The Vikings might be waving a white flag so this is risky, but Aaron Jones, David Bakhtiari, Preston Smith, Za’Darius Smith and Robert Tonyan are all hurting for the Packers and that number is just too high under those circumstances.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT BUFFALO BILLS (-4): PATRIOTS

This is another tough call in a week of tough calls. I just don’t think the Pats will lay down easy and take a fourth consecutive loss. Buffalo might still win this game, but the Bills have looked nearly as weak as New England of late so this should be close. I’d roll with Buffalo if the line was within a field goal.

NEW YORK JETS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-19.5): CHIEFS

There’s actually some value for the Chiefs here after sharps bet this down from 22.5. The Jets are a mess that is likely unable to cover back-to-back spreads, and the Chiefs are beginning to put their foot on the gas pedal. This line is too large to risk big bucks on, but you can’t possibly bet the Jets right now.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT BALTIMORE RAVENS (-4): RAVENS

I’d recommend buying back a point if you can because this feels like a field-goal game, but I’m still going to roll the dice on a potential Baltimore blowout. The Ravens almost always win big when they win, while the Steelers are a bit phony on offense and due for a dud. And you have to consider that Baltimore is coming off its bye while the Steelers are super banged up following a brawl with Tennessee.

TENNESSEE TITANS (-5.5) AT CINCINNATI BENGALS: BENGALS

Tennessee has won by more than six points just once this season, while Cincinnati has lost by six points just once. Tennessee went through that brawl last week, while the Bengals hung with the Browns. At home, they can hang here too.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-3.5) AT DENVER BRONCOS: CHARGERS

Drew Lock is a mess, and now he’s facing a strong pass defense and a pass rush that should continue to gain strength now that Melvin Ingram is back to support Joey Bosa. You never know what you’re going to get from the Chargers — so much so that I’d pay to remove that hook — but I’m still not willing to back Denver in this spot.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-4) AT CHICAGO BEARS: SAINTS

Again, I’d love to just lay a field goal here but I can’t jump to Chicago based on one point. The Bears are operating on short rest after being humiliated on Monday night and now top receiver Allen Robinson is in concussion protocol. The Bears defense has also been soft against the run, so Alvin Kamara could hijack this game. Regardless, look for the Saints to further expose a mediocre Bears team.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-2.5): SEAHAWKS

I know Seattle was exposed to an extent in Week 7 and has injury issues, but the 49ers have been gutted yet again by a new wave of injuries. Considering that the experienced Seahawks are great at rebounding after a loss, why in the world would I side with San Francisco on the road with a mere 2.5 points on the line? Read our full 49ers Seahawks pick article here.

DALLAS COWBOYS AT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-8): EAGLES

Don’t touch this game unless you absolutely have to. Both teams are too damn depleted for anyone to gauge the potential result. Eight points is a lot considering the state of the Eagles, but Dallas looks so damn bad. It’s a toss-up, so I’ll go with the team that isn’t likely to be using its third-string quarterback on the road. Read the Cowboys Eagles pick piece by Deeg for more.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-10.5) AT NEW YORK GIANTS: BUCCANEERS

Daniel Jones continues to be one of the most mistake-prone players in the NFL, while Tampa Bay’s top-rated defense in terms of DVOA is one of the most fierce, opportunistic units in the league. That’s a bad combination for New York, and an indication we’ll be in for a blowout on Election Eve.