Sep 27, 2020; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) looks on after an incomplete pass on third down against the New Orleans Saints during the second quarter at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Week 9 NFL Trends

Something bad happens when the calendar flips to November for the Green Bay Packers and people who bet on them. Who knows why it happens, but bettors should be aware just in case there is something real going on.

The Packers are favorites in injury-riddled San Francisco, but are 5-16 SU in their past 21 games in the month of November. That money-losing situation apparently starts with Week 9 each season as they are 0-6 ATS the past six years.

So buyer beware on a short week against a team that is 6-3 SU in its past 9 games as home underdogs. See the stats breakdown for this game and Week 9 odds on every team.

What other money-making and money losing Week 9 NFL betting trends are out there? Should you 100% bet the Giants? Check their 16-3 ATS and 14-2 ATS trends, both applicable this week. Read on and follow BetRivers and Sugarhouse for odds, props and bonus specials.

Thursday Night Football Trends

Green Bay -2.5 at San Francisco Total 51 | Matchup Report

Niners are 6-1-1 ATS past 8 vs Packers

Green Bay is 5-16 SU in their last 21 games played in November.

Green Bay is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played in Week 9.

Niners are 6-3 SU and ATS past 9 as home underdogs

UNDER is 15-6 San Francisco’s last 21 games played in Week 9

San Francisco is 7-2 ATS past 9 games as the underdog.

Carolina +10.5 at Kansas City Total 52.5 | Matchup Report

Kansas City continues to win and continues to cover spreads. They own 10-1 ATS, 17-4 ATS and 17-6 ATS streaks in scenarios this week at home to Carolina.

Carolina is 6-1-1 (7-1 SU) ATS in their last 8 games played in Week 9

Carolina played OVER past 4 games as double-digit dogs

UNDER is 9-2 past 11 times KC is double-digit home chalk

Kansas City is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games

Kansas City is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games at home.

Kansas City is 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games as the favorite

Detroit +3.5 at Minnesota Total 53.5 | Matchup Report

Detroit is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games

UNDER is 17-7 Detroit’s last 24 games against Minnesota.

Detroit is 1-12 SU past 13 divisional games.

Detroit is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in November.

Chicago +5.5 at Tennessee Total 46.5 | Matchup Report

After each team’s erratic play, we are avoiding the spread like the plague. The OVER on the other hand …..

OVER is 15-5 Tennessee’s last 20 games.

OVER is 12-4 Tennessee’s last 16 games at home.

OVER is 10-3 Tennessee’s last 13 games played in November.

Titans have played 7 straight Week 9 OVERs

OVER is 10-3 Tennessee’s last 13 games as the favorite

Seattle -2.5 at Buffalo Total 54 | Matchup Report

Wow what a super UNDER trend for the Bills. Wow what a super OVER trends for the Bills. Just like Buffalo’s season, this betting trends are all over the place and they face a Seattle team that is tough on the road ATS (13-5-1 ATS past 19). Seattle usually wins as road chalk, the Bills usually lose as home dogs.

UNDER is 18-4 Buffalo’s last 22 games as the underdog

OVER is 16-3 Buffalo’s last 19 games against an opponent in the NFC West

OVER is 10-2 Seattle’s last 12 games against Buffalo.

Seattle is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games on the road

Seattle is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in November.

Seattle 10-2 SU past 12 as road favorite, Bills 2-9 SU past 11 as home dogs

Buffalo is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games

Denver +4 at Atlanta Total 50 | Matchup Report

Atlanta bleeds money against AFC teams (1-14 ATS past 15 in this situation). Denver might get some recent bias favoritism from the sportsbooks after their impressive Week 8 rally. The Broncos are tough on the road and as underdogs.

Atlanta is 1-14 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games.

Denver is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on the road.

Denver is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as the underdog.

Atlanta is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as chalk.

Atlanta has played six straight UNDERs before a bye week (1-6 SU past 7)

More Week 9 NFL betting trends later

Baltimore -3 at Indianapolis Total 45 | Matchup Report

The Colts have dominated the Ravens ATS over the years (10-1 ATS) but Baltimore rides a hot road ATS streak. Oh and the Colts have lost 7 straight as home dogs, going 1-6 ATS.

UNDER is 11-1 Indianapolis’ last 12 games against Baltimore.

Indianapolis is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against Baltimore.

Baltimore is 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 games on the road.

Indianapolis is 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games played in November.

Indianapolis is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in Week 9.

Indianapolis is 6-23 SU in their last 29 games as the underdog.

Colts lost 7 straight as home dogs, 1-6 ATS

Houston -7 at Jacksonville Total 50.5 | Matchup Report

A bad team is 7-point favorites on the road. Wow. The Texans usually beat the Jags (11-2 SU) but the spread is a different story.

Houston is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games.

Jacksonville is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games.

Houston is 11-2 SU in their last 13 games against Jacksonville.

Houston is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games

Houston is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games at Jacksonville.

Jags lost seven in a row SU, 0-5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.

Jags 7-2-1 ATS past 10 seasons after a bye

NY Giants +3 at Washington Total 41.5 | Matchup Report

The Giants are losers but HUGE winners as a road team (16-3 ATS) and HUGE winners as underdogs (14-2 ATS).

Giants 14-2 ATS past 16 as regular season road dog, 3-13 SU

Giants 16-3 ATS past 19 road games

Washington has been home faves just three times past three seasons, lost badly outright each time

UNDER is 15-6 NY Giants’ last 21 games against Washington

Washington 2-10 ATS past 12 seasons after a bye week

Las Vegas +1.5 at LA Chargers Total 53 | Matchup Report

Two erratic teams make the spread hazardous. But the UNDER trends are undeniable.

UNDER is 9-2 Las Vegas’ last 11 games at LA Chargers, trend extends to 26-7 past 33 meetings at Chargers.

UNDER is 18-4 Las Vegas’ last 22 divisional games.

UNDER is 9-3 LA Chargers’ last 12 games at home.

L A Chargers lost 8 in a row, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 divisional games

L A Chargers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Las Vegas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Miami +5 at Arizona Total 48 | Matchup Report

Arizona has played UNDER past four seasons after a bye week, but have struggled to a 3-8 ATS mark their past 11 games as home favorites. Is Miami a live dog here?

Miami is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.

Miami is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games when playing as the underdog.

OVER is 8-3 Arizona’s last 11 games played in November.

Arizona is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played in Week 9.

Arizona 3-8 ATS past 11 games as home favorites

Pittsburgh -14 at Dallas Total 41.5 | Matchup Report

Dallas is 0-8 ATS this season and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games. So how do they react to being a double-digit home underdog for just the third time in their history and possibly the biggest of all time? They were +14.5 back in 1989 against the 49ers and +10 the following year, also to the 49ers.

This is the biggest road spread in their history, topping the -13 at Cleveland Jan. 3, 2016. The Steelers record as double-digit road favorites since 1980? 1-12 ATS and just 8-5 SU.

Pittsburgh are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against an opponent in the NFC.

Dallas 3-7 SU and ATS past 10 seasons before bye week

Pittsburgh 7-0 this season and 6-1 ATS

New Orleans +5.5 at Tampa Bay Total 51.5 | Matchup Report

New Orleans continues to be super tough as a road team (15-5 ATS) and as an underdog with a long-term trend extending to 19-6-1 ATS dating back 26 games).

New Orleans is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games on the road.

UNDER is 9-3 New Orleans’ last 12 games at Tampa Bay

New Orleans is 8-1 ATS as dog, streak extends to 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games

OVER is 12-3 Tampa Bay’s last 15 divisional games.

New England -7 at NY Jets Total 42.5 | Matchup Report

Another bad team laying a touchdown on the road in the Monday Nighter. The Patriots always beat the Jets, but we said the same thing about them beating Buffalo every game and look how that turned out.

New England is 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against NY Jets

Jets lost 8 straight, 1-7 ATS

Jets are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 divisional games.

Trend Dummy (not his real name) is a veteran sports betting writer, who really should be a lot smarter by now. Starting with a betting trends fascination in 1993, Dummy has been chasing trends, patterns, streak and mathematical anomalies ever since. A serious data miner with real databases and betting acumen, he sometimes stretches stats to fit a narrative, but the data is legit. You decide if the trends have handicapping value.

Upcoming Games

Nov 26th, 12:30 PM

Houston -2.5 +100

Detroit +2.5 +100

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Nov 26th, 4:30 PM

Washington +3 -110

Dallas -3 -110

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Nov 26th, 8:20 PM

Baltimore +4.5 -110

Pittsburgh -4.5 -110

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Nov 29th, 1:00 PM

Carolina +4.5 -110

Minnesota -4.5 -110

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Nov 29th, 1:00 PM

Tennessee +4 -110

Indianapolis -4 -110

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Nov 29th, 1:00 PM

Arizona -2.5 -110

New England +2.5 -110

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Nov 29th, 1:00 PM

Cleveland -6.5 -110

Jacksonville +6.5 -110

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Nov 29th, 1:00 PM

Miami -7 -120

NY Jets +7 -120

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Nov 29th, 1:00 PM

Las Vegas -3 -110

Atlanta +3 -110

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Nov 29th, 1:00 PM

NY Giants -5.5 -110

Cincinnati +5.5 -110

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Nov 29th, 1:00 PM

LA Chargers +5.5 -110

Buffalo -5.5 -110

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Nov 29th, 4:05 PM

San Francisco +7 +100

LA Rams -7 +100

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Nov 29th, 4:05 PM

New Orleans -6 -110

Denver +6 -110

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Nov 29th, 4:25 PM

Kansas City -3 -110

Tampa Bay +3 -110

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Nov 29th, 8:20 PM

Chicago +8.5 -110

Green Bay -8.5 -110

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Nov 30th, 8:15 PM

Seattle -5.5 -110

Philadelphia +5.5 -110

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Dec 3rd, 8:20 PM

Dallas

Baltimore

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