Oct 16, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles fan celebrates during win against the Dallas Cowboys during the fourth quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Week 9 OU Picks: Eagles Cowboys OVER

Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for the opening week of the 2023 NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or fantasy, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on over/unders.

Here are several totals for this week that are worthy of your attention. Odds are Wednesday numbers at Draft Kings, check their lines during the week to see if they are moving up or down to make these picks even better.

Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints (41): Under

Say what you will about the Bears, but they got better on defense at the deadline. Meanwhile, the always-strong Saints defense ranks in the top 10 in points allowed. Neither offense is particularly powerful, so I’m not sure this one gets too close to the 40s.

Arizona Cardinals at Cleveland Browns (38.5): Over

I know Cleveland’s D has been stellar, but they’ve actually given up 31.0 points per game the last two weeks and now they may have to face a fresh Kyler Murray in his season debut. The Cardinals defense ranks 27th in points allowed, and Deshaun Watson is also set to return from injury for the Browns. This one should sail into the 40s.

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (47): Over

Both teams are coming off extremely high-scoring games, and they combined for 74 in their last meeting. Both defenses are strong, but they’ve combined to score 30-plus in eight of their 15 total games played this season. This should hit the 50s as these rivals go blow for blow.

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Archived Week 9 OVER UNDER picks article from Nov. 4. 2022

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (46): UNDER

Three consecutive Jets games have contained fewer than 40 points. And while the Bills could easily put up 40 on their own, their defense could easily smother New York’s. This is also a tougher-than-it-looks road spot for them.

Las Vegas Raiders at Jacksonville Jaguars (48): UNDER

The Raiders offense has been a mess, and the Jags have been held to 17 or fewer points in three of their last four outings. This one’s a mystery to me, because this very much has the makings of a 20-17-type affair.

Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (42.5): OVER

This is a desperate spot for both teams, and we know they both have plenty of offensive firepower. Tom Brady is hearing the chirps, and this could be an explosion in a national spot. This total is at least a handful of points too low.

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Archived article from Nov. 3, 2021

Week 9 NFL OVER UNDER picks

Los Angeles Chargers at Philadelphia Eagles: 50

These teams put up a combined 68 points last week, and the Chargers defense has surrendered at least 27 points in three consecutive games. Both squads should make a run at the 30 mark in desperate situations, and expect the underdog Eagles to put up a fight at home. In other words, a backdoor over could be in play as well.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers: 45

Every Cardinals home game this season has contained at least 50 points, while the last two 49ers games have had at least 48. The 49ers appear to be putting it together, and Arizona still has the fourth-highest-scoring offense in the NFL. This total feels quite low under those circumstances.

Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs: 54

The Chiefs offense is an utter mess, but the defense did show signs of progress against the New York Giants in Week 8. The Green Bay defense has also quietly done a good job, giving up 22 or fewer points in five consecutive games. And while Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes could light it up at any time, even the Rodgers-led Packers offense has been held to 30 or fewer points in every game except one this season. This total is way too high.

New England Patriots at Carolina Panthers: 41

These are two top-eight scoring defenses, and the quarterbacks representing both teams are quite unproven/unreliable. The last two Carolina games have contained 32 or fewer points, and the Pats aren’t exactly scary offensively. This one should wind up in the 30s.

Archived Week 9 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Nov. 3, 2020

Week 8 saw underdogs feast on favorites. Will Week 9 see OVER or UNDER bets produce a slew of profits?

Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for Week 9 of the 2020 NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or fantasy, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on over/unders.

Check out the latest NFL spreads and totals along with matchup reports and stat breakdowns on every game.

Last week’s record: 15-12-2

 

BALTIMORE RAVENS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (45)

Both teams are good defensively but have given up a lot of points the last few weeks, while both offenses remain productive and point-happy despite inconsistent play from quarterbacks Lamar Jackson and Philip Rivers.

Each of the last four games these teams have played have contained at least 50 points, and there’s little reason to think they won’t hit that mark again on Sunday. I’m expecting a 30-27-type game.

DENVER BRONCOS AT ATLANTA FALCONS (50)

It’s a little scary going over a 50 with the two unreliable teams like these, but Drew Lock and the Denver offense woke up in the second half of Sunday’s game against the Los Angeles Chargers and it’s actually a good sign that the Atlanta offense was relatively quiet last week. The roller-coaster ride should continue as the Falcons score 30-plus against a D that has been abused the last two weeks.

This one should push the 60s as both defenses struggle, Lock finds his groove and the Falcons get healthier.

NEW YORK GIANTS AT WASHINGTON REDSKINS (41.5)

Both of these defenses have performed way better than expected the last couple weeks, while both offenses remain extremely untrustworthy. These two combined for 39 points when they met in October, but Chase Young is healthier now and neither offense has made much progress.

I don’t feel good about Daniel Jones in this spot on short rest. This game might barely hit the 30-point mark.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT DALLAS COWBOYS (41.5)

Why is this in the 40s? The Cowboys have basically thrown in the towel offensively with just 12 points the last two games, but the defense has been better of late as well. This should be a blowout in which the Steelers take their foot off the gas pedal while leading by a margin along the lines of 24-3 in the second half.

The under is an obvious choice.

Brad Gagnon has been passionate about both sports and mass media since he was in diapers -- a passion that won't die until he's in them again. He was a lead contributor to an earlier incarnation of NationalFootballPost.com and was happy to return when new management revived the brand in 2020. Based in Toronto, he's covered the NFL since 2008 and has been a national NFL writer at Bleacher Report since 2012. He despises all 32 NFL teams equally but remains a fan of the Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He can be reached at Brad@NationalFootballPost.com

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