Oct 4, 2020; Landover, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) runs for a 50 yard touchdown against the Washington Football Team during the second quarter at FedExField. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

Week 9 NFL Picks

We’ll be here to guide you with weekly picks against the spread every week, and we’re still well above .500 approaching the midway pole. Here are 13* fresh takes for Week 9, with odds coming from BetRivers and SugarHouse sportsbooks.

* There’s no line for Sunday’s Detroit Lions-Minnesota Vikings game due to potential issues related to COVID-19.

2020 RECORD: 63-50-3

Check out full matchup reports with stat breakdowns and trends and live NFL betting lines on every game as well.

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-7) AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: PACKERS

Thursday Night Football

Ideally you took the Packers when they were only laying a couple points earlier in the week. Since, it’s all hit the fan for the 49ers from an injury and COVID-19 standpoint. The Niners won’t have the firepower to take advantage of Green Bay’s vulnerable run defense and the Packers will run away here, in spite of what Trend Dummy says about Green Bay being terrible in the month of November.

BALTIMORE RAVENS (-2) AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: COLTS

I’m quite concerned about the impact star left tackle Ronnie Stanley’s injury could have on the Ravens, while the Colts are rolling again with a healthy Darius Leonard. I’ll certainly take points with the home team.

CAROLINA PANTHERS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-10.5): CHIEFS

The Chiefs have won their last two games by 26-plus points and look close to unstoppable right now, while the Panthers have come back to earth after a strong start. Christian McCaffrey is worth consideration against a weak run defense, but I’m not sure how healthy he’ll be.

CHICAGO BEARS AT TENNESSEE TITANS (-6.5): BEARS

The Titans rarely win big and the Bears rarely lose big. Nick Foles is also coming off a strong performance and facing a beatable pass defense. This should be decided by a field goal.

DENVER BRONCOS AT ATLANTA FALCONS (-3.5): BRONCOS

Drew Lock and the Broncos finally caught fire last week and I don’t trust the Falcons enough to lay more than a field goal with them, even at home. Atlanta’s pass defense is weak and shorthanded. The Broncos might win outright. Atlanta never covers non-conference games.

HOUSTON TEXANS (-6.5) AT JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: TEXANS

Deshaun Watson has a 117.3 passer rating the last five weeks and Jacksonville has maybe the worst pass defense in the NFL. The Jags also won’t have quarterback Gardner Minshew II. They were creamed by Houston a few weeks ago and there’s little reason to expect a different result here.

NEW YORK GIANTS AT WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM (-2.5): WASHINGTON

Washington’s fierce defense is coming off a bye and getting healthier, while the Giants are working on short rest. I don’t think a mistake-prone Daniel Jones has much of a chance in this matchup, and the WFT is inexplicably giving up less than a field goal.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-3) AT BUFFALO BILLS: SEAHAWKS

After a 4-0 start, the Bills have looked downright mediocre with Josh Allen putting up ugly numbers the last four weeks. Meanwhile, the Seahawks bounced back with an impressive win last week and could get Jamal Adams back Sunday. Seattle might blow the Bills out so I’ll gladly lay the three points.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS AT LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-1): RAIDERS

I wouldn’t touch this game as these teams are banged up and untrustworthy. That said, in an office pool I’m taking the team with the much better record with a line that is basically a pick’em.

MIAMI DOLPHINS AT ARIZONA CARDINALS (-4): CARDINALS

I’m not buying the Dolphins’ top-rated scoring defense, and Tua Tagovailoa didn’t do much of anything in his debut as a starter. Miami is good, but Arizona is a hell of a lot better and is coming off a bye at home. This line should be a lot higher.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-14) AT DALLAS COWBOYS: STEELERS

How could anyone take the Cowboys? They look totally defeated and have been outscored 86-22 in their last three games. That opportunistic Pittsburgh defense should have a field day against whoever starts under center for Dallas and a depleted offensive line.

If you are freaked about historical trends, read Trend Dummy’s double digit road favorite analysis and his fear-mongering over Pittsburgh 1-12 ATS mark since 1980 as DD road chalk.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS AT TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-4): SAINTS

The Saints might get Michael Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders back, and they beat Tampa Bay by a double-digit margin in September. A lot has changed since then for the Bucs, but this still has the look of a field-goal game. Read my full betting report on this game.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-7) AT NEW YORK JETS: PATRIOTS

The Pats are bad but the Jets are one of the worst teams in NFL history. Bill Belichick has had extra time to prepare for Sam Darnold, who still has to deal with a decent pass defense. Why is New England laying just seven points?

Brad Gagnon has been passionate about both sports and mass media since he was in diapers -- a passion that won't die until he's in them again. He was a lead contributor to an earlier incarnation of NationalFootballPost.com and was happy to return when new management revived the brand in 2020. Based in Toronto, he's covered the NFL since 2008 and has been a national NFL writer at Bleacher Report since 2012. He despises all 32 NFL teams equally but remains a fan of the Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He can be reached at Brad@NationalFootballPost.com

Upcoming Games

Dec 6th, 1:00 PM

Cleveland +5.5 -110

Tennessee -5.5 -110

@

Dec 6th, 1:00 PM

Indianapolis -3 +100

Houston +3 +100

@

Dec 6th, 1:00 PM

Detroit +3 -115

Chicago -3 -115

@

Dec 6th, 1:00 PM

Jacksonville +10 -110

Minnesota -10 -110

@

Dec 6th, 1:00 PM

Las Vegas -8 -115

NY Jets +8 -115

@

Dec 6th, 1:00 PM

New Orleans -3 -120

Atlanta +3 -120

@

Dec 6th, 1:00 PM

Cincinnati +10.5 -110

Miami -10.5 -110

@

Dec 6th, 4:05 PM

NY Giants +11 -110

Seattle -11 -110

@

Dec 6th, 4:05 PM

LA Rams -2.5 -110

Arizona +2.5 -110

@

Dec 6th, 4:25 PM

New England +1.5 -110

LA Chargers -1.5 -110

@

Dec 6th, 4:25 PM

Philadelphia +9 -105

Green Bay -9 -105

@

Dec 6th, 8:20 PM

Denver +13.5 -110

Kansas City -13.5 -110

@

Dec 7th, 5:00 PM

Washington +7 -110

Pittsburgh -7 -110

@

Dec 7th, 8:15 PM

Buffalo +1 -110

San Francisco -1 -110

@

Dec 8th, 8:05 PM

Dallas +7.5 -110

Baltimore -7.5 -110

@

Dec 10th, 8:20 PM

New England +6.5 -110

LA Rams -6.5 -110

@

Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Houston -1.5 -110

Chicago +1.5 -110

@

Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Tennessee -9.5 -110

Jacksonville +9.5 -110

@

Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Denver +4 -110

Carolina -4 -110

@

Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Minnesota +6 -110

Tampa Bay -6 -110

@

Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Arizona -3 -110

NY Giants +3 -110

@

Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Kansas City -7.5 -111

Miami +7.5 -111

@

Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Dallas -3 -110

Cincinnati +3 -110

@

Dec 13th, 4:05 PM

NY Jets +14.5 -110

Seattle -14.5 -110

@

Dec 13th, 4:05 PM

Indianapolis -2 -110

Las Vegas +2 -110

@

Dec 13th, 4:25 PM

Green Bay -7.5 -110

Detroit +7.5 -110

@

Dec 13th, 4:25 PM

Washington +4 -110

San Francisco -4 -110

@

Dec 13th, 4:25 PM

Atlanta +1 -110

LA Chargers -1 -110

@

Dec 13th, 4:25 PM

New Orleans -6.5 -110

Philadelphia +6.5 -110

@

Dec 13th, 8:20 PM

Pittsburgh -2.5 +100

Buffalo +2.5 +100

@