We’ll be here to guide you with weekly picks against the spread every week throughout the 2022 regular season. Here are 14 more for Week 9.
Odds are courtesy of Draft Kings as of mid-week, check their site for line moves and super bonus specials for new customers.
Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs (-2): Chiefs
I know this is a neutral site, but the Dolphins aren’t the same away from home and have not looked good against strong opponents. Throw in that the juggernaut, resilient, experienced Chiefs are coming off an embarrassing loss to a bad team and it’s insane that they’re laying less than a field goal in this spot. I could see this being a blowout.
Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) at Carolina Panthers: Panthers
The Panthers are finally showing life with their star young quarterback and his decent supporting cast. At home against a team that seems lifeless and has surrendered 37 or more points in three consecutive weeks, I think they’ll keep it rolling as a somewhat surprising underdog and win this straight-up.
Los Angeles Chargers (-3.5) at New York Jets: Jets
The Chargers have surrendered 24-plus points in all three of their road games, losing two of them straight-up. The home side has a superior record and hasn’t lost a game in a month. The Jets aren’t good, but they grind out wins. The Chargers might not be able to get the running game going against New York’s D in order to maintain a lead, if they get one at all. I’ll take the field goal and the hook.
Archived Week 9 NFL picks article from Nov. 6, 2022
Buffalo Bills (-11) at New York Jets: Jets
The Bills have actually had just one blowout win since Week 3, and the rival Jets usually hang. In New York, a double-digit-point spread is pushing it.
Miami Dolphins (-4) at Chicago Bears: Dolphins
The Dolphins have signaled they’re all in. The Bears have signaled they’re throwing in the towel. This should be a touchdown spread, even in Chicago.
Green Bay Packers (-3.5) at Detroit Lions: Lions
I’m biting on the hook. The Packers just aren’t a good football team right now and a familiar foe should be hungry to hang with them at home — just as Detroit did with a superior Dolphins squad in Week 8.
Los Angeles Chargers (-3) at Atlanta Falcons: Chargers
Los Angeles hasn’t hit on all cylinders yet and the Falcons are hanging in, but this spread is a gift. These teams are not on the same level, and the Bolts travel well. Don’t be scared away by the early kickoff across the country.
Archived NFL Week 9 picks article from Nov. 4, 2021
2021 RECORD: 57-64-1
NEW YORK JETS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-10.5): JETS
The Colts are still banged up and potentially crushed by a brutal overtime loss to a division rival. Meanwhile, the Jets are fighting coming off October wins over the division-leading Titans and Bengals. They’ll keep this close.
ATLANTA FALCONS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-5.5): FALCONS
I think the Saints have been playing over their heads. They’re still quite shorthanded and now they’re without starting quarterback Jameis Winston as well. A familiar foe will stick around in what is essentially a must-win game for them.
DENVER BRONCOS AT DALLAS COWBOYS (-9): COWBOYS
I’m not confident the Broncos will have a lot left in them following the front office’s decision to throw in the towel at the trade deadline, and it’s not as though they were playing well anyway. Now they run into the Cowboys with Dak Prescott likely back. On the road, I’m not sure they can put up a fight.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-3.5) AT CAROLINA PANTHERS: PATRIOTS
The hook scares me with a rookie quarterback on the road here, but Bill Belichick has a lot of fun dominating Sam Darnold and the Panthers offense is practically useless right now. I’d try to buy half a point before betting big on New England.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS AT BALTIMORE RAVENS (-6): RAVENS
Baltimore knows how to take care of business as a medium-to-large favorite, and the Vikings might be out of gas after a deflating Sunday night loss to the Prescott-less Cowboys. Throw in Danielle Hunter’s injury and the fact the Ravens have had two weeks to prepare and this won’t be close.
CLEVELAND BROWNS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (-2.5): BROWNS
The Browns are in worse shape than the Bengals, but I still trust them more after watching a novice Cincinnati team slip up against the Jets. Cleveland is still a far superior team in terms of overall talent and DVOA. They’ll find a way to grind this out.
BUFFALO BILLS (-14) AT JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: BILLS
The Bills have five wins this season, all by at least 15 points. Why the hell would anyone expect them to win by any less than that total against one of the league’s worst teams? This should be a blowout.
HOUSTON TEXANS AT MIAMI DOLPHINS (-6.5): DOLPHINS
I’d stay away from this one because both teams are pretty down and out at 1-7 and it’s hard to feel confident in either. That said, the Texans are much worse on paper and have fallen by double-digit margins in six of their last seven games. No way I’m taking just 6.5 points with them on the road.
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (-3) AT NEW YORK GIANTS: GIANTS
Eventually, the turmoil surrounding the Raiders will catch up with them. That could be the case here, especially with the Giants battling hard with nothing to lose. I’ll take the points with the home squad.
LA CHARGERS (-2) AT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: CHARGERS
This line presents value for those who figure the talented Chargers are in for a “get right game” against a pretty weak Eagles squad that played above its head last week. Against teams with winning records, the Eagles are 0-3 with an average margin of defeat of 12.3 points. This is practically a pick’em, and a no-brainer as a result.
GREEN BAY PACKERS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-8): PACKERS
Is Aaron Rodgers worth eight points? This was essentially a pick’em before the reigning MVP was ruled out for Green Bay. But I think the Packers still have the talent elsewhere to hang with a Chiefs team in shambles on both sides of the ball. If Kansas City needs luck to beat the Giants at home, it is unlikely to beat a Jordan Love-led Green Bay squad by more than a touchdown.
ARIZONA CARDINALS (-1) AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: 49ERS
San Francisco is putting it together, while the Cardinals are in rough injury shape. I think the 49ers will have enough fight in them to pull this out at home.
TENNESSEE TITANS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS (-7.5): RAMS
The Rams should be fired up for a prime-time home game with Von Miller making his debut, and the Titans are too much of a gamble without Derrick Henry. I’d prefer to get -7 or lower, but Los Angeles is still the pick.
CHICAGO BEARS AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-6): STEELERS
Justin Fields has taken more sacks than any quarterback in football, and the Steelers have one of the fiercest defensive fronts in the NFL. They’re competing now, while the Bears are spiralling. In Pittsburgh, I don’t see that changing Monday night.
Archived Week 9 NFL picks article from Nov. 9, 2020
We’ll be here to guide you with weekly picks against the spread every week, and we’re still well above .500 approaching the midway pole. Here are 13* fresh takes for Week 9, with odds coming from FanDuel and Draft Kings sportsbooks.
* There’s no line for Sunday’s Detroit Lions-Minnesota Vikings game due to potential issues related to COVID-19.
2020 RECORD: 63-50-3
Check out full matchup reports with stat breakdowns and trends and live NFL betting lines on every game as well.