Big Ten title, No. 1 playoff spot on line for Indiana, Ohio State

INDIANAPOLIS — Never before in the 15-year history of the Big Ten Championship Game has there been more at stake than when No. 1 Ohio State plays No. 2 Indiana on Saturday.

This is the first time since its inception in 2011 that both teams enter the championship game undefeated with 12-0 overall marks and 9-0 conference records.

The closest comparison would be last season when top-ranked Oregon puts its perfect record against No. 3 and once-beaten Penn State. The Ducks won 45-37.

While the winner on Saturday will get the No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoff, Ohio State coach Ryan Day feels the loser should still be ranked among the top four.

“I think both deserve a first-round bye,” he said. “(But) I think it’s important to win this game and be the No. 1 seed. Everything matters.”

Counterpart Curt Cignetti is not so sure. He doesn’t feel the loser is guaranteed a top-four spot.

“I don’t expect any handouts,” he said. “We’ve earned everything up until this point and we’ve got to earn it on Saturday.”

That’s all from the team standpoint. On the personal level, the winner of the Heisman Trophy may be decided between quarterbacks Fernando Mendoza of Indiana and the Buckeyes’ Julian Sayin.

Mendoza has passed for 2,758 yards with 32 touchdowns and five interceptions. He will go against the best scoring defense (7.8 points per game) and total defense (203.0 yards) in the nation under first-year defensive coordinator Matt Patricia and led by All-American safety Caleb Downs.

“My job is to stick to the process against a fantastically-led defense by Coach Patricia and Caleb Downs,” Mendoza said. “We just need to stick to the process and stick to what’s gotten us to this point.”

Downs sees a leader in Mendoza, who has guided the Hoosiers to the second-best scoring offense (44.3) and No. 5 total offense (483.8).

“He can see the field well, which puts them in the right position,” Downs said. “Their running backs are running hard and their receivers are making plays.”

Sayin showed his mettle against Michigan last Saturday in the California native’s first game played in snow. After an incompletion and interception on his first two throws, he completed 19 of his final 24 for 233 yards and three touchdowns in the 27-9 victory.

It helped that receivers Carnell Tate (five catches, 82 yards, touchdown) and Jeremiah Smith (3-30-1) returned from injuries just in time and will be available again Saturday.

Sayin has passed for 3,065 yards and 30 touchdowns against five interceptions while having the top completion percentage nationally (78.9%).

“I really respect Julian. He is so effective and he fits the offense perfectly,” Mendoza said. “Every QB prides himself on completion percentage and his completion percentage is out of this world.”

Ohio State has not won a Big Ten title since the COVID season of 2020. Indiana’s last championship came in 1967.

Day credits Cignetti in his second season at Indiana for the program’s rise to prominence.

“Look at what he’s done,” Day said. “I’ve got a lot of respect for what he’s put on the field. I mean, this is a really good team and it’s going to be a great atmosphere.

“I know our guys are looking forward to going to Indy. It’s been a long time. So, we’re going there to win the game against a great opponent.”

–By Craig Merz, Field Level Media

Nov 30, 2024; Eugene, Oregon, USA; Oregon Ducks quarterback Dillon Gabriel (8) looks for a receiver during the first half against the Washington Huskies at Autzen Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images

Big Ten championship game capsule: Oregon vs. Penn State

Big Ten championship game
Oregon (12-0) vs. Penn State (11-1)
Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024, at 8 p.m. ET
Indianapolis, Lucas Oil Stadium
TV: CBS
Early line: Oregon -3.5 (FanDuel)

What’s at stake:
Oregon is a sure-fire pick no matter what happens in this game but the Ducks want the No. 1 overall seed and a first-round bye. Having your first game being in the quarterfinals is much more preferred than risk being upset in the first round.

Penn State also is part of the 12-team field no matter what transpires in Indy. But stun the Ducks and get a bye and home-field advantage? That would be a huge development for the Nittany Lions.

How they got here:
The Ducks needed a last-second field goal to beat Boise State on Sept. 7 and then won their next three games by at least 21 points. They defeated Ohio State 32-31 in a major showdown on Oct. 12 and then beat four straight Big Ten opponents — including Illinois and Michigan — by an average of 26.5 points. Saturday’s 49-21 whipping of Washington furthered displayed that Oregon is by far the best team in the land.

Penn State won its first seven games before once again falling to Ohio State, dropping coach James Franklin to 1-10 versus the Buckeyes during his tenure. The Nittany Lions bounced back impressively with wins of 29 and 39 points against Washington and Purdue, respectively. Penn State closed with a 44-7 rout of Maryland and landed the championship game spot due to Michigan’s win over Ohio State.

Names to know:
–Oregon
QB Dillon Gabriel
The transfer is always efficient, and he completed 73.5 percent of his passes for 3,275 yards, 24 touchdowns and just six interceptions.

RB Jordan James
Put together a strong season of 1,166 yards and 13 touchdowns on the ground, contributing 95 or more yards on eight occasions.

S Tysheem Johnson
Leads the team in interceptions with three, ranks second in tackles with 55 and always seems to know where to be in the back end.

–Penn State
QB Drew Allar
Allar completed 71.6 percent of his passes while throwing for 2,668 yards and 18 touchdowns against five interceptions during the regular season.

TE Tyler Warren
He has 81 receptions for 978 yards and six scores, topped by that memorable career-best outing of 17 catches for 224 yards against Southern California on Oct. 12.

DE Abdul Carter
Put together a dominant season that counts 19.5 tackles for loss, including 10 sacks, while terrorizing opposing offensive linemen.

Xs and Os:
The Ducks departed the Pac-12 for the Big Ten, where wins weren’t supposed to come so easily. But Oregon thrived in its new environment and has been the top team in the nation all season. No matter what happens in the conference title game, the Ducks are the team to beat in the 12-team playoff field.

One narrative Franklin despises is that his program beats all the teams it should and falls short in the big games. Well, here you go coach, a perfect chance to temporarily silence that chatter, especially since a win over the Ducks gives the Nittany Lions a first-round bye.

Prediction:
Oregon 41, Penn State 30

–Field Level Media