Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson are the big movers in the NFL MVP race after sterling Week 5 performances.
Oddsmakers slashed Jackson’s odds in half — from +2500 to +1200 at DraftKings — in a span of a few hours on Monday. Jackson delivered a game-winning touchdown and threw four TDs to lift the Baltimore Ravens over the Indianapolis Colts in overtime on “Monday Night Football.”
Jackson has more total yards this season than half of the NFL’s teams.
One of them is not the Buffalo Bills, with Allen at quarterback accounting for 14 total touchdowns (two rushing) this season. Allen had three TD passes at Kansas City in Buffalo’s primetime takedown of the Chiefs on Sunday night.
He’s now the betting favorite at most sportsbooks at +450 (FanDuel), a marginal stride ahead of Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (+500).
At BetMGM, Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott is +650 and third overall behind Allen and Murray.
Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers and Tom Brady of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the NFL leader in passing yards, are tied at +600 at DraftKings. At FanDuel, Brady is +800 and Herbert +600.
Reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers is +900 at FanDuel, even with Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford and ahead of Jackson (+1200) and Patrick Mahomes (+1500).
NFL leading rusher Derrick Henry of the Titans hasn’t received the same bump after big performances. He’s even with Browns running back Nick Chubb, who is second in the NFL in rushing, at +8000 odds at FanDuel. Henry is +4000 for MVP at BetMGM.
–Field Level Media
Trey Lance is the No. 2 quarterback on the San Francisco 49ers’ roster entering the weekend. BetMGM clearly expects his standing to change and recently trimmed his MVP odds by more than half.
Lance opened at +30000 at BetMGM and started the week at +12500. For reference, that’s the same zip code Rams defensive tackle Aaron Donald resides at the moment. Donald is +12500, down from +20000.
BetMGM said one large bet landed on Donald when his odds were +20000. That $500 wager would net a winning ticket of $100,000.
Lance currently sits as one of the largest financial liabilities the book has in the NFL futures market. Two other quarterbacks — Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers and Baker Mayfield of the Cleveland Browns — are the other large liabilities for BetMGM.
The 49ers selected Lance third overall in the 2021 NFL Draft but head coach Kyle Shanahan has insisted Jimmy Garoppolo will start for San Francisco. Garoppolo is +10000 to win MVP at BetMGM.
Lance has even better odds to win MVP at other books. For example, he’s +7500 at FanDuel, even with Garoppolo.
Mayfield opened at +4000 and is now +3500.
As of Tuesday, bets on Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen to win MVP totaled 10.4 percent of all 2021 MVP bets at BetMGM. Herbert was the next-highest handle in the NFL MVP market at nine percent. Allen is even with Tom Brady of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +1400.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes remains the unanimous favorite at U.S. sportsbooks. At BetMGM, he’s +600 and 8.5 percent of bets placed at BetMGM on MVP candidates are on the Kansas City star.
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is the second favorite at +1100.
–Field Level Media