Jan 9, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills running back Devin Singletary (26) runs for a touchdown in the fourth quarter against the New York Jets at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff parlay play: Bills at Chiefs

The finale of the four-game divisional playoff round might be the most anticipated, a rematch of the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs featuring two of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.

In a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship game, the Bills are back at Arrowhead Stadium, where Buffalo scored a win over the Chiefs earlier this season.

To help with our viewing pleasure, we have a Same Game Parlay for your consideration. This parlay was constructed on DraftKings.

Bills vs Chiefs SGP: +260 on DK
Before we explain the three-leg parlay for Bills-Chiefs, here is an overview of the entire SGP.

The SGP:
Devin Singletary TD
Josh Allen over 34.5 rushing yards
Patrick Mahomes under 329.5 passing yards

–Devin Singletary TD
Singletary scored a touchdown in five straight games, with eight total in that span. That’s elite production and consistency for the top back in Buffalo.

Singletary has 22 total red zone looks in just the past three weeks. He’s heavily involved when this offense gets near the goal line.

Kansas City’s run defense has been reasonably sturdy of late. It remains the weakness of the Chiefs.

Buffalo has been efficient running the football, and should be able to get Singletary in the end zone if they sustain drives.

–Josh Allen over 34.5 rushing yards
I would feel comfortable bumping this as high as 54.5 if you wanted a SGP with higher odds.

Allen has been decimating teams with his legs lately, finishing with 60+ rushing yards in four straight games and five of 6.

At just 34.5 yards, this should be easy for the Bills QB. For context, he had 41 on the first drive of the Patriots game last week.

Allen has gone over this alternate total in seven of the last eight games and each of the last three times he’s played Kansas City.

What we have going for us with this leg is flexibility on how it hits. The Bills have shown they aren’t shy about designed runs for their quarterback, but Allen is also prone to tuck it and run when pressure pushes him out of the pocket.

The Chiefs have a significant advantage with their star DT Chris Jones rushing up the middle against an average Buffalo interior offensive line.

All that should do is flush Allen out of the pocket and get him running.

–Patrick Mahomes under 329.5 passing yards
It seems crazy to bet a Mahomes under, but there are so many numbers that suggest it’s the right play.

We’ve selected the highest passing yardage total available on DraftKings to give us some breathing room (Mahomes’ over is currently set at 284.5).

Mahomes has gone over 329.5 just six times this season, and only twice in the past eight games.

On the year, there isn’t a secondary playing better football than Buffalo. Only two quarterbacks have gone over their passing yards against this defense. Mahomes didn’t, finishing with 272 when they met earlier this season.

On average, the Bills surrender a measly 163 passing yards per game. It’s an elite secondary, and while Mahomes should be able to overcome that to a degree, I don’t think he gets 330 or over.

–By Griffin Carroll, Field Level Media

Jan 15, 2022; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) runs onto the field prior to the game against the Las Vegas Raiders in an AFC Wild Card playoff football game at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff parlay play: Titans vs. Bengals

The first divisional round game this weekend is the Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans on Saturday afternoon.

This has the makings to be a great game. On one hand we have Joe Burrow, taking that leap to the next tier of great quarterbacks, aided by an elite group of receivers.

On the other, the top-seeded Titans, who don’t have the respect you may expect for a No. 1 seed. Star running back Derrick Henry is officially active after fracturing his foot in Week 8, a huge jolt for this offense.

We have a Same Game Parlay (SGP) for the game based on our expected game flow. Consider this option, or add legs that stick out to you for your own SGP. This particular parlay is constructed using odds from FanDuel.

Bengals vs Titans SGP: +213 on FD

Before we break down each of the legs of this parlay, let’s look at it on the whole.

The SGP:
–Derrick Henry TD

–Joe Burrow 250+ passing yards

–Cincinnati Bengals +10.5

At +213, we need just three legs for this to hit. You could add more, such as Derrick Henry’s rushing yards or a yardage over for a Bengals’ receiver, both of which are solid options in this game. I’m aiming for simplicity when hoping to hit these parlays and limiting to three legs.

Derrick Henry TD
Henry to find the end zone – something he has certainly displayed a knack for – seems logical. In eight games this season, Henry scored 10 times.

The Bengals rushing defense isn’t necessarily a major strength, and reports suggest Henry will be the starter and handle his full workload.

I tend to gravitate toward the best players in playoff games. This is the third straight year Tennessee finds themself in the postseason. Henry was stifled last year, with the Titans losing their lone game.

In 2019, when this team made a run to the AFC Championship Game, Henry ran for 148.7 yards per game and scored twice.

The Titans know how important Henry is to their success, and he’ll surely get the football should they get in the red zone.

Joe Burrow 250+ Passing Yards
This is an alternative line for Burrow’s passing over, with his standard over/under set at 278.5 yards.

We buy 29 extra yards in this scenario to give ourselves some breathing room, but I believe Burrow is in for a monster game.

Tennessee’s run defense is quite stout while their secondary has had issues slowing down receivers all season.

Burrow is averaging nearly 40 passes per game in his past three games, and with a run game potentially shut down, he’ll have to continue his attack through the air.

This Cincinnati offense is well-equipped to take advantage of a struggling Titans secondary. Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd all have an opportunity for a big game, and instead of choosing one of them, we take the quarterback.

Burrow has thrown for 250-plus passing yards in four of his last six games. In Weeks 17 and 18, Burrow threw for 525 and 446 yards. This offense is explosive.

Bengals +10.5
The spread is Cincinnati +3.5, so we’re buying an extra touchdown to bring this SGP home.

I do think Cincinnati has a legitimate chance to win this game. As mentioned, the Titans are going to have issues slowing down this passing game, so Burrow and company can put points on the board.

The Bengals have lost only two games by more than three points this season. That shows me a team that keeps games close, so to get the spread at 10.5 is some security in a reasonable SGP.

–By Griffin Carroll, Field Level Media

New Mexico Lottery to Offer Game Tied to Sports

The New Mexico Lottery Board on Tuesday voted to approve a game linked with the outcome of sporting events, the Santa Fe New Mexican reported. The game will mark the second venture for an entity in New Mexico to offer sports betting after the Supreme Court struck down the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act in May. Just last month, the tribal-owned Santa Ana Star Casino & Hotel, with USBookmaking as its operator, launched a sportsbook. 

Though details of the new lottery game were not made public, it’s likely it will involve parlay wagering, similar to Delaware’s sports lottery. In such a game, players must select the winners of at least three sports events and select each one correctly in order to win.

The driving force behind developing a sports-related lottery game is to generate more money for education, which the lottery funds. Lottery CEO David Barden told the Santa Fe New Mexican that the new game could produce $30 million a year, with $9 million to be directed to the lottery’s college tuition assistance program.

 
 

Read more New Mexico Lottery to Offer Game Tied to Sports on SportsHandle.