‘Pro Football Handle’: NFL Week 3 Breakdown, Really Bad Teams, And Big Totals

The post ‘Pro Football Handle’: NFL Week 3 Breakdown, Really Bad Teams, And Big Totals appeared first on SportsHandle.

On The Pro Football Handle, Las Vegas-based sports talk voice Matt Perrault and veteran bookmaker Robert Walker dive into select NFL games, line movements and bookmaker liabilities, plus greater sports betting topics and stories that may have nothing to do with football. Walker has seen it all behind the counter and Perrault the same from behind the microphone, so they’ll have you prepared for anything.

Most bettors got crushed in Week 2 as underdogs went 11-5 against the spread and seven dogs won outright. Woof. We have now a two-game sample and as usual, a handful of surprises. Two of the biggest early season surprises will meet on Monday Night Football — the desperate and winless Pittsburgh Steelers, favored by a point, against the undefeated Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Your comments are welcome at @sports_handle. Listen on on Spotify hereTime codes for the episode follow below.


02:48: The guys discuss the FanDuel Sportsbook dispute over an $82,000 ticket written in error. Walker has been involved in this intimately over the years. What’s an obvious mistake?

16:12:  New York Jets +3 at Cleveland Browns: “The Browns are legitimate favorites. It’s hard to even say that.” Expecting an interesting, close game.

19:45: Indianapolis Colts +6.5 at Philadelphia Eagles: How many points is Carson Wentz worth (in his first week back) versus Nick Foles?

22:58: Cincinnati Bengals +3 at Carolina Panthers: The undefeated (2-0) Bengals take the show on the road. “Bet Carolina or walk away.” Carolina is not a public team.

25:45: How does a bookmaker handle really, really, ridiculously bad teams? Such as the Cardinals and Bills (+16.5 at Minnesota).

29:54: Oakland Raiders +3 at Miami Dolphins: Opened at 4, bet down to 3. People simply don’t believe in Miami as Oakland is coming off a game they had to find a way to lose.

32:10: San Francisco 49ers +6.5 at Kansas City Chiefs: Whooole lotta money looking at the over right now on a total out to 56.

36:27: Battle of Los Angeles: Chargers +7 at Rams: Walker believes this closes at 7.5 or 7 -120.
“As a bookmaker we’ll need the Chargers. That’ll be one of biggest decisions of the day.” Rams are the real deal on both sides, the new Super Bowl favorite. “The pros take 7.5 early, always.”

38:27: Detroit Lions +7 at New England Patriots: Belichick against a former assistant coach, also off a loss… so what can the Lions do here? Books will need Lions and under (52).

40:50: Pittsburgh Steelers -1 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: FitzMagic! The winless Steelers are staring at 0-2-1 and a full-fledged tailspin.

Come Monday night, the books will need the under, Walker says.


Have a profitable Week 3, folks. Thanks for listening and see you back next week, tell a friend, sign up for our newsletter and also check out the Cover City Podcast, featuring sports bettor Eric Rosenthal.

Follow Perrault on Twitter @sportstalkmatt and Walker @robertusfsports.

 

 

‘The NFL Handle’: NFL Week 2 Breakdown And Week 1 Reflections, Disappointments

The post ‘The NFL Handle’: NFL Week 2 Breakdown And Week 1 Reflections, Disappointments appeared first on SportsHandle.

On The NFL Handle, Las Vegas-based sports talk voice Matt Perrault and veteran bookmaker Robert Walker of USBookmaking dive into select NFL games, line movements and bookmaker liabilities, plus greater sports betting topics and stories that may have nothing to do with football. Walker has seen it all behind the counter and Perrault the same from behind the microphone, so they’ll have you prepared for anything.

NFL Week 2, also known as “overreaction” or “adjustments” week, has arrived. In Week 2 we’ll see an AFC Championship rematch with the Patriots -1.5 at the Jaguars, the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles -3 at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers — who just beat the Saints outright in New Orleans as a nearly 10-point dogs — and various other lines of interest. How will the Lions and Bills respond after their respective debacles?

Your comments are welcome at @sports_handle. (Link coming for iTunes listeners). Time codes for the episode follow below.


0:35: Reflections on Week 1, the excitement of the first kickoff and how the sportsbook fared.

1:35: “Automatic” plays — a viable strategy? Not all home dogs have the same bite.

7:17: Miami Dolphins +3 at New York Jets — a line that’s bounced around a bit. What should the line actually be and where might it go?

11:30: Los Angeles Chargers -7 at Buffalo Bills — typically it’s elite teams that open as 9 point favorites on the road. Bills rookie QB Josh Allen will start his first game for Buffalo, who will probably have the backing of the “pros.”

14:52: Detroit Lions +6.5 at San Francisco 49ers — both teams coming off disappointing (or extremely disappointing) performances. Line’s moved based on how bad the Lions looked. Early marriage trouble for Matt Patricia and Detroit.

21:00: Cleveland Browns +9  at New Orleans Saints —The Browns, off to their best start since 2004 (0-0-1), visit the Saints, who at least showed up offensively in their Week 1 defensive faceplant.

23:40: Arizona Cardinals +12.5 at Los Angeles Rams — Just how good are the Rams? So far they’re gobbling all the wagers.

26:53: A few words about environment and atmosphere — with a major hurricane, Florence, set to hit the East Coast.

29:10: New England Patriots -1.5 at Jacksonville Jaguars —An AFC Championship rematch.

33:25: New York Giants +3 at Dallas Cowboys — Cowboys are in trouble. Giants are the play.

35:30: Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (off the board): Aaron Rodgers, worth about 6 or 7 points, most likely will play.

38:30: Houston Texans -2 at Tennessee Titans — another quarterback injury question hangs over this AFC South contest with Marcus Mariota (elbow) not a lock to suit up.

41:00: Kansas City Chiefs -4 at Pittsburgh Steelers —  Are the Chiefs really good or the Steelers not so good? Highest total on the board in this game (52.5).

42:45: Indianapolis Colts +6 at Washington Redskins — Who’s willing to lay the six points?

42:50: Favorite play of the weekend! Or at least the most interesting and probably the biggest decision of the week. The defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles are (just) a 3-point favorite on the road against Tampa Bay? Also looking hard at Arizona and perhaps giving the Raiders a second chance.

48:40: Bonus bookmaking question about Canelo vs. GGG Part II and discussion of “open scoring” in boxing.

Have a profitable Week 2, folks. Follow Perrault on Twitter @sportstalkmatt and Walker @robertusfsports.

Thanks for listening and see you back next week, tell a friend, sign up for our newsletter and also check out our Cover City Podcast, featuring sports bettor Eric Rosenthal.

 

Introducing ‘The NFL Handle’: An NFL Betting Podcast Featuring Robert Walker And Matt Perrault

The post Introducing ‘The NFL Handle’: An NFL Betting Podcast Featuring Robert Walker And Matt Perrault appeared first on SportsHandle.

Sports Handle is pleased to present the debut episode of The NFL Handle. This NFL betting podcast pairs together Las Vegas-based sports talk voice Matt Perrault with veteran bookmaker Robert Walker, now of USBookmaking, formerly of Resorts World, MGM Mirage and “numerous other books that were glad to see me go,” he says on Twitter. Perrault is also host of Pushing The Odds on SB Nation Radio.

On the The NFL Handle, Perrault and Walker will dive into select NFL games, line movements and bookmaker liabilities, plus greater sports betting topics and stories that may have nothing to do with football. Walker has seen it all behind the counter and Perrault the same from behind the microphone, so they’ll have you prepared for anything.

Your comments are welcome at @sports_handle. (Link coming for iTunes listeners). Time codes for the episode follow below.



0:30: Introducing Walker and to a lesser extent, Perrault. Thoughts on a new era of sports betting in the U.S., potential federal involvement, and a welcome to the NFL season.

19:50: The NFL slate, beginning with Falcons +1 at Eagles (line has now moved to ATL -1 in some shops). On Nick Foles and the challenge of repeating as champion.

28:10: Jimmy G and the 49ers +6.5 at Vikings in Kirk Cousins’ debut in Minnesota.

32:57: Pittsburgh Steelers -4 at the Cleveland Browns of Hard Knocks.

40:30: New York Jets +6.5 at Detroit Lions (and a total that’s ticked down).

42:40: Los Angeles Rams -4 at Oakland Raiders.

49:10: Some final thoughts: Are certain games more attractive situationally? Not all home dogs are created equal.


Have a profitable Week 1, folks. Thanks for listening and see you back next week, tell a friend, sign up for our newsletter and also check out the Cover City Podcast, featuring sports bettor Eric Rosenthal.

 

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The post Introducing ‘The NFL Handle’: An NFL Betting Podcast Featuring Robert Walker And Matt Perrault appeared first on SportsHandle.