Trend Dummy

Trend Dummy

Trend Dummy (not his real name) is a veteran sports betting writer, who really should be a lot smarter by now. Starting with a betting trends fascination in 1993, Dummy has been chasing trends, patterns, streaks and mathematical anomalies ever since. A serious data miner with real databases and legitimate betting acumen, he sometimes stretches stats to fit a narrative. The data sources are legit, the ‘trends’ are legit – you decide if the trends have handicapping value or not.

 

 

 

 

 

Posts By Trend Dummy

Jan 3, 2021; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Demarcus Robinson (11) runs the ball against Los Angeles Chargers cornerback Tevaughn Campbell (37) during the second half at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Week 3 NFL Betting Trends: More OVERs?

Week 3 NFL betting trends find some perfect OVER trends and compelling ATS streaks as well. Check out Trend Dummy's research. Read More

Backwards Oracle Picks

The Backwards Oracle is possibly the worst football bettor on Earth - but his failure can be our profits. We fade him each week. Read More

Indianapolis Colts head coach Frank Reich (right) talks with quarterback Carson Wentz (2) on Sunday, Sept. 12, 2021, at Lucas Oil Stadium and Indianapolis. The Seahawks defeated the Colts, 28-16.Indianapolis Colts And Seattle Seahawks On Nfl Week 1 At Lucas Oil Stadium Sunday Sept 12 2021

NFL 0-2 Teams Out of Playoffs

Your team is 0-2 and you can forget about the playoffs. That's what history tells us. Read More

Jan 3, 2021; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots running back Sony Michel (26) rushes against New York Jets free safety Marcus Maye (20) during the first quarter at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

Week 2 NFL Trends

Week 2 NFL betting trends offer a bounty of one-sided angles you should consider before placing your Week 2 wagers. Read More

Dec 26, 2020; Paradise, Nevada, USA; A general view of a Las Vegas Raiders helmet outside of Allegiant Stadium  before the game against the Miami Dolphins. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Ravens Raiders Betting Pick, Props, MNF Preview

All the trends favor the Baltimore Ravens, but they are road chalk despite a spate of injuries. Can the Raiders cover the Monday Night spread? Read More

Jan 13, 2020; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Detailed view of the 2020 College Football Playoff National Championship logo on the field at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Week 1 NFL Trends

Betting OVER on the Lions and fading the Colts has been a reliable way to make money the past decade or more. Will those NFL Week 1 betting trends continue? Read More

Dec 29, 2019; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams fans hold Mob Squad sign during the Rams final home game at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum before moving to SoFi Stadium for the 2020 season. The Rams defeated the Arizona Cardinals 31-24 Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Bet against Super Bowl losers in Week 1

There was a time, not too long ago, when betting against the loser of the Super Bowl in Week 1 of the following season was a lock. A guaranteed winner. Easy money. Read More

Jan 9, 2021; Landover, Maryland, USA; Washington Football Team coaching intern Jennifer King tosses a ball on. The field prior to the Washington Football Team's game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at FedExField. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Super Bowl 55 Betting Recap

The Gatorade was blue, the anthem went long and greedy Tom Brady grabbed another Super Bowl MVP. See the Super Bowl 55 betting results. Read More

Feb 1, 2020; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; General overall view of NFL golden shield logo at the NFL Honors show at the Adrienne Arsht Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds Should Not Be 50-50

The Super Bowl coin toss is definitely not a 50-50 proposition. Just look at the facts and win your wagers on Super Bowl 55. Read More

Nov 29, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Le'Veon Bell (26) runs the ball against Tampa Bay Buccaneers inside linebacker Devin White (45) during the first half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Super Bowl 55 Betting Trends: Kansas City vs Tampa Bay

Tampa has been in this underdog situation four times and won outright every time. Does that bother KC bettors as Super Bowl 55 betting trends loom? Read More

Jan 3, 2021; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady (12) drops back against the Atlanta Falcons during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Conference Championship Betting Trends

NFL title game trends have shown a distinct lean to home teams in recent years. See why Kansas City and Green Bay odds might be juicy right now. Read More

Dec 27, 2020; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) runs the ball against the Atlanta Falcons in the second half at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Home Teams Favored in Conference Odds

What are the biggest factors on the conference championship odds menu? Patrick Mahomes baseline concussion test and Wisconsin weather forecast. Read More

Nov 8, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; New Orleans Saints wide receiver Marquez Callaway (12) is tackled by inside linebacker Devin White (45) defends in the first quarter of a NFL game at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Divisional Playoff Betting Trends

Trend Dummy is back with hours of NFL database mining nuggets, arming you with NFL divisional playoff betting trends galore. Read More

Jan 3, 2021; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) runs the ball as Pittsburgh Steelers nose tackle Chris Wormley (95) moves in for the tackle during the fourth quarter at FirstEnergy Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Galvin-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Wild Card Betting Trends

Playoff betting is a whole new level of football handicapping and finding NFL Wild Card betting trends that matter will help. Check it out. Read More

Aug 17, 2020; Berea, Ohio, USA;  Cleveland Browns offensive tackle Jedrick Wills Jr. (71) works on his footwork during training camp at the Cleveland Browns training facility. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Week 17 NFL Betting Trends

Week 17 is the trickiest week for handicapping the NFL. Trend Dummy explains why and shows which trends and angles are meaningful. Read More

Dec 20, 2020; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) at the line against the New Orleans Saints during the second half at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Week 16 NFL Betting Trends

Database diver Trend Dummy finds dozens of interesting Week 16 betting trends to consider. Check out the angles and streaks now. Read More

Nov 24, 2019; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Cincinnati Bengals defensive end Sam Hubbard (94) during the fourth quarter against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

Week 15 NFL Betting Trends

The Steelers are double digit road favorites again, the Rams face the biggest spread in 20 season and the Jets and Bengals get zero respect again. See Week 15 NFL trends. Read More

Dec 22, 2019; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Dolphins defensive tackle Zach Sieler (92) celebrates after sacking Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton (14) during the first half at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Week 14 NFL Betting Trends

Week 14 betting trends show some money-making dog trends and some unmistakable OVER trends. See Trend Dummy's deep database dive. Read More

Oct 25, 2020; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Seattle Seahawks running back Chris Carson (32) prior to the game against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Billy Hardiman-USA TODAY Sports

Week 13 NFL Betting Trends

Seattle owns a perfect Week 13 trend. The Giants are almost a lock as a road dog. The Saints are awesome on the road. Check out Week 13 NFL trends. Read More

Oct 25, 2020; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Cam Newton (1) and head coach Bill Belichick look on from the sideline as they take on the San Francisco 49ers in the second half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

Week 12 NFL Betting Trends

New England is a black hole for bettors trying to fade them as home underdogs. Cleveland might face its biggest road spread ever, but look at their road trends! Read More

Nov 1, 2020; Baltimore, Maryland, USA;  Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (7) calls a play at the line during the first half against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Thanksgiving Day NFL Betting Trends

Some weird angles in our Thanksgiving Day NFL betting trends deep dive. Baltimore is a tough as a dog and lays 4.5 at Pittsburgh. Check it out. Read More

Oct 25, 2020; Nashville, Tennessee, USA;  Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin talks with quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (7) just prior to the start of the game against the Tennessee Titans during the first half at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-USA TODAY Sports

Week 11 NFL Betting Trends

Can the Steelers possibly fail to cover again as double digit road favorites? Why does Seattle always win and Arizona always lose on Thursday night? Read More

Dec 29, 2019; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings inside linebacker Cameron Smith (59) tackles Chicago Bears running back David Montgomery (32) during the third quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Harrison Barden-USA TODAY Sports

Vikings Bears Pick, MNF Betting

Minnesota is a road favorite in a place where they almost never win. And Chicago owns all the positive MNF betting trends. Trust the Vikes at -3? Read More

new england patriots home underdogs

Patriots Home Underdogs Domination

The Patriots have long dominated as home underdogs, in those rare cases when they got points at home. What happens now that Tom Brady is gone? Read More

Nov 1, 2020; Orchard Park, New York, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Cam Newton (1) scores a touchdown  against the Buffalo Bills in the fourth quarter at Bills Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

Week 10 Trends: Pats Big Home Dogs

The Pats are rare home dogs. The Ravens are merciless road warriors. The Giants are terrible as home dogs. See our Week 10 NFL betting trends wrap. Read More

Oct 25, 2020; Nashville, Tennessee, USA;  Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (7) throws a pass against the Tennessee Titans during the second half at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-USA TODAY Sports

Double Digit Road Favorites: Bet Home Dog?

Pittsburgh is a double digit road favorite in Week 9. How should NFL bettors handicap this rare situation? Have you seen the Steelers record as big road favorites?? Read More

Sep 27, 2020; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) looks on after an incomplete pass on third down against the New Orleans Saints during the second quarter at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Week 9 NFL Trends

Why does Green Bay struggle so much in November? Why do the Titans play OVER seemingly every week? Trend Dummy has the data and some answers you might not like. Read More

Dec 29, 2019; Baltimore, Maryland, USA;  Baltimore Ravens cornerback Marlon Humphrey (44) during the first quarter against the Pittsburgh Steelers at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Week 8 NFL Betting Trends: Steelers Ravens UNDER

UNDER looks like a lock in the Steelers-Ravens battle, the Falcons look like a safe bet on Thursday and KC faces the biggest spread in team history. Get Week 8 NFL betting trends update. Read More

Seahawks Cardinals Pick, SNF Analysis

If you are betting Seattle vs Arizona on Sunday Night, you have to be careful of the half point. Trend Dummy plays the OVER UNDER instead of the point spread here. Read More

Sep 19, 2020; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;  Syracuse Orange quarterback Rex Culpepper (17) looks to pass  against the Pittsburgh Panthers during the second quarter at Heinz Field. The Panthers won 21-10. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Syracuse betting trends: Clemson beware big dog

Should Clemson seriously be concerned about Syracuse, even as 46.5-point underdogs? Louisville didn't take the Orange seriously 13 years ago as 37.5-point underdogs and look what happened. Read More

Oct 4, 2020; Detroit, Michigan, USA; New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees (9) throws a pass against the Detroit Lio during the second quarter at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

Week 7 Trends: Giants, Saints, 49ers

The Saints continue their unthinkable ATS streak in October, the Giants look like money in the bank on Thursday and the 49ers are unlucky as hell is lucky Week 7. Read More

Aug 25, 2018; Pittsburgh, PA, USA;  Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin (L) and Tennessee Titans head coach Mike Vrabel (R) talk before their game at Heinz Field. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Steelers Titans: Unbeaten = Dog and UNDER?

When unbeaten teams meet later in the season, the underdogs have covered spreads and games have gone UNDER the total. Will history repeat in Pittsburgh vs Tennessee? Read More

Dec 29, 2019; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Miles Sanders (26) runs the ball against the New York Giants in the first half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Week 7 Opening Odds Report

The Jets are a historic home underdog and the Bills are historic road favorites (sort of). See NFL Week 7 opening odds report. Read More

Dec 1, 2019; Pittsburgh, PA, USA;  Cleveland Browns wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. (13) runs a route against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the fourth quarter at Heinz Field. Mandatory Credit: Philip G. Pavely-USA TODAY Sports

Week 6 NFL Betting Trends

Trend Dummy finds angles favoring the Ravens over the Eagles, but good luck with some of the terrible matchups in Week 6 betting trends land. Read More

Oct 6, 2019; Nashville, TN, USA; Tennessee Titans kicker Cairo Santos (7) misses his first of two field goals during the first half against the Buffalo Bills at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Bills vs Titans Pick, Analysis

The point spread in the Buffalo Tennessee matchup scares the hell out of us. We like the OVER UNDER play a lot better and here's why. Read More

NFL Notebook: Ravens QB situation gets a little cloudier

Bengals vs Ravens Pick, Lamar vs Burrow

It's the reigning NFL MVP against the No. 1 overall pick in the draft as Lamar Jackson's Ravens face Joe Burrow's Bengals. Can you say back-door cover? Read More

Sep 27, 2020; Denver, Colorado, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady (12) throws a touchdown pass in the first quarter against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Week 5 NFL Betting Trends: Fade Tampa, Bet OVER?

OVERs continue to hit, Thursday Night could be more of the same and the Saints own a 17-1 ATS trend - check out Week 5 NFL betting trends from Trend Dummy. Read More

Oct 23, 2016; Glendale, AZ, USA; Seattle Seahawks special teams coordinator Brian Schneider (left) and head coach Pete Carroll against the Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium. The game ended in a 6-6 tie after overtime. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

OVERs continue to hit in Week 4

OVERs continue to hit in the NFL and totals numbers are climbing again for Week 5. See the latest OVER UNDER betting theory. Read More

Jan 19, 2020; Santa Clara, California, USA; Green Bay Packers nose tackle Kenny Clark (97) reacts after a defensive play during the first half in the NFC Championship Game at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

Falcons vs Packers Betting Pick, MNF Best Bet

Is this game destined to fly OVER the total? Are the Falcons too desperate with their start and the Packers too comfortable with theirs? Read More

Sep 13, 2020; Orchard Park, New York, USA; New York Jets wide receiver Jamison Crowder (82) warms up prior to the game against the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Broncos vs Jets Pick, TNF Best Bet

A Thursday Night Turkey Bowl of 0-3 teams might be just as bland as bettors predict. We play safely UNDER as our Thursday Night best bet. Read More

Dec 15, 2019; Landover, MD, USA; Philadelphia Eagles head coach Doug Pederson looks on from the sidelines against the Washington Redskins in the second quarter at FedExField. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Week 4 NFL betting trends: 49ers, Saints

The 49ers never cover in this situation. The Saints never fail to cover in that situation. Get Week 4 NFL betting trends before making your picks. Read More

Sep 22, 2019; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) runs against Baltimore Ravens outside linebacker Matt Judon  (99) during the second half at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Chiefs Ravens Pick, Monday Night Trends

The Super Bowl 55 futures list will have a new leader after Monday Night, as the co-favorite Ravens and Chiefs lock up. We have the Chiefs Ravens pick of the night here at NFP. Read More

Sep 13, 2020; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA;  Las Vegas Raiders running back Josh Jacobs (28) with the ball as Carolina Panthers safety Jeremy Chinn (21) defends in the second quarter at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

Saints vs Raiders Pick, MNF Analysis

New Orleans enjoys a lot of positive Monday Night football betting trends here, but the Trend Dummy believes the Raiders can pull the upset. Read More

Aug 22, 2019; Foxborough, MA, USA; Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton (1) is forced out of the pocket by New England Patriots outside linebacker Dont'a Hightower (54) during the first half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports

Patriots vs Seahawks SNF Pick

The Patriots always cover as September underdogs. The Seahawks always cover as September home favorites. So let's bet the over under instead Sunday Night. Read More

Dec 29, 2019; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Damien Williams (26) runs the ball as Los Angeles Chargers outside linebacker Thomas Davis (58) attempts the tackle during the game at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Chiefs Chargers Pick, Betting Analysis

Are the Chiefs the right bet here or is the oddsmaker just leading us down the path? Trend Dummy is following the crowd - straight to betting window to pick up his winnings. Read More

Dec 8, 2019; Cleveland, OH, USA; Cincinnati Bengals outside linebacker Jordan Evans (50) defends against a pass to Cleveland Browns tight end David Njoku (85) during the second half at FirstEnergy Stadium. The pass fell incomplete. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

TNF Betting Trends

Cleveland is favored by 6 points and maybe that's a good thing for Brown bettors? Read More

Sep 13, 2020; Inglewood, California, USA; Dallas Cowboys tight end Blake Jarwin (89) leaves the field after being injured during the first half against the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Betting Recap NFL Debrief

Week 1 betting recap shows underdogs beating favorites and OVERs trumping UNDERs. Read More

Jan 9, 2020; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA;  (from left) New York Giants CEO John Mara, new head coach Joe Judge, and co-owner Steve Tisch pose for photos at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports

Steelers vs Giants MNF Pick

The Steelers look for a 10th straight Monday Night win against a team debuting a head coach and which struggles mightily with the point spread at home. Read More

Nov 17, 2019; Tampa, FL, USA;Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive tackle Demar Dotson (69) blocks New Orleans Saints outside linebacker A.J. Klein (53) during the first half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Saints Bucs Pick

If Brady vs Brees in Week 1 smells like an UNDER play to you, you might need to check your sniffer. Read More