Trend Dummy

Trend Dummy

Trend Dummy (not his real name) is a veteran sports betting writer, who really should be a lot smarter by now. Starting with a betting trends fascination in 1993, Dummy has been chasing trends, patterns, streaks and mathematical anomalies ever since. A serious data miner with real databases and legitimate betting acumen, he sometimes stretches stats to fit a narrative. The data sources are legit, the ‘trends’ are legit – you decide if the trends have handicapping value or not.

 

 

 

 

 

Posts By Trend Dummy

Dec 20, 2020; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (2) against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Eagles Cardinals Pick, Philly to Cover

Philly is 4-0, while Arizona is luck to not be 0-4. On paper, this is one-sided and easy money at 5 points but we don't play on paper. Read More

Aug 27, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Russel Wilson (3) in the first quarter of their game against the Minnesota Vikings at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Colts Broncos Pick, UNDER on TNF?

Two underachieving teams, two shitty offenses, lots of UNDER trends - does Denver-Indianapolis go UNDER on Week 5 TNF? Read More

Jan 9, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills offensive tackle Tommy Doyle (72) following the game against the New York Jets at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Pittsburgh Steelers Buffalo Bills Pick – Lay the Wood

In betting school, they warn you against backing huge favorites. This Week 5 Steelers-Bills game is different, ignore the rule. Read More

Jan 9, 2022; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Arizona Cardinals tight end Zach Ertz (86) waves towards the crowd before a home game against the Seattle Seahawks.Nfl Seahawks Vs Cardinals

Week 5 NFL Betting Trends

Its the biggest Steelers dog number ever, UNDER trends galore on Thursday - check out Trend Dummy's database mining results. Read More

Jan 30, 2022; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) throws a pass against the San Francisco 49ers in the first half during the NFC Championship Game at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Rams 49ers Betting Prediction, MNF Dog & UNDER?

The Rams start to turn the Tide on the 49ers, after getting rolled for multiple seasons. LA can win outright here in the Week 4 MNF game. Read More

Dec 8, 2019; Orchard Park, NY, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) meets Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) at mid-field after a game at New Era Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Baltimore Pick, Bills Blowout

Buffalo is too good to lose two in a row, even in a tough environment at Baltimore. They will cover easily in Week 4. Read More

Jan 30, 2022; Inglewood, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) throws a pass against the Los Angeles Rams in the first half during the NFC Championship Game at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Week 4 trends – Saints win, Dolphins lose

Week 4 NFL trends see a continuing streak for the Saints and more from the NFL betting database. Read More

Jan 3, 2021; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Andy Dalton (14) is sacked by New York Giants nose tackle Dalvin Tomlinson (94) in the first half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

Week 3 Trends – Miami, Green Bay as Dogs?

Week 3 NFL betting trends find some perfect OVER trends and compelling ATS streaks as well. Check out Trend Dummy's research. Read More

Sep 11, 2022; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) is defended by Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackle Cameron Heyward (97) during the first quarter of a Week 1 NFL football game at Paycor Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Greene-USA TODAY Sports

NFL 0-2 Teams Out of Playoffs

Your team is 0-2 and you can forget about the playoffs. That's what history tells us. Read More

Baltimore Ravens punter Sam Koch (4) punts against the Miami Dolphins during NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium Thursday in Miami Gardens.Baltimore Ravens V Miami Dolphins 063

Miami Baltimore Pick, UNDER the play?

Baltimore had dominated Miami before getting smacked last season. The Ravens are small home chalk but the total is the best bet. Read More

Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22) throws Buffalo Bills cornerback Josh Norman (29) aside as he rushes up the field during the second quarter at Nissan Stadium Tuesday, Oct. 13, 2020 in Nashville, Tenn.Nas Titans Bills 001

Week 2 Trends: Seahawks 11-1 ATS as dog angle

Week 2 NFL betting trends offer a bounty of one-sided angles you should consider before placing your Week 2 wagers. Read More

Jan 13, 2020; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Detailed view of the 2020 College Football Playoff National Championship logo on the field at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Week 1 NFL Trends

Seattle bites hard as an underdog, the Rams get off to quick starts and the Colts have been a guaranteed loss in recent season openers. Read More

Jul 28, 2021; Orchard Park, NY, United States; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) speaks with the media after practice at the Buffalo Bills Training Facility. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

NFL MVP Betting Odds

NFL MVP odds always generate discussion and plenty of wagering each NFL preseason. See who the NFL MVP favorites and darkhorses are this season. Read More

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow gives his first press conference of the season as he returns from appendectomy surgery on Wednesday, Aug. 17, 2022.Joe Burrow Presser

Bet against Super Bowl losers in Week 1

There was a time, not too long ago, when betting against the loser of the Super Bowl in Week 1 of the following season was a lock. A guaranteed winner. Easy money. Read More

Lee Corso waves while wearing a Brutus Buckeye head as, from left, Desmond Howard, Rece Davis, Archie Griffin, and Kirk Herbstreit applaud his pick during ESPN's College GameDay broadcast from the campus of Ohio State prior to the NCAA football game against the Michigan State Spartans in Columbus on Nov. 21, 2015. (Adam Cairns / The Columbus Dispatch)Osu15msu Ac 07

College football betting trends Week 1 2022

Notre Dame almost never wins as double-digit dogs, but they are catching 17 points at Ohio State - plenty of room to lose and still cover. Read More

Sep 19, 2020; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;  Pittsburgh Panthers wide receiver Jared Wayne (5) runs after a catch as Syracuse Orange defensive back Devon Clarke (11) defends during the second quarter at Heinz Field. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

West Virginia Pitt Pick, UNDER 51?

Pitt opens as the No. 17 ranked team but West Virginia aims to knock them down early, just like in the old Backyard Brawl days. Read More

Nov 28, 2021; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase (1) celebrates the first down during the first quarter against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

Super Bowl Parlays: FanDuel Bets, Props

Parlays can be fun, they can also be super profitable. FanDuel's early lineup of Super Bowl parlays features stars of Super Bowl 56. Read More

Jan 2, 2022; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) celebrates the win after the game against the Kansas City Chiefs at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

Super Bowl 56 Betting Trends

Super Bowl 56 trends favor the underdogs overall and Cincy specifically, but the Rams head-to-head and as chalk. Read More

Feb 1, 2020; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; General overall view of NFL golden shield logo at the NFL Honors show at the Adrienne Arsht Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds Should Not Be 50-50

The Super Bowl coin toss is definitely not a 50-50 proposition. Just look at the facts and win your wagers on Super Bowl 55. Read More

Dec 5, 2021; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) looks to pass in the fourth quarter against the Jacksonville Jaguars at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

49ers Rams Pick, NFC Title Game Upset

Can the 49ers make it lucky 7 wins in a row vs the Rams? History says yes, trends say yes and the point spread is tempting. Read More

Jan 9, 2022; Inglewood, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk (11) is tackled by Los Angeles Rams free safety Taylor Rapp (24) in the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Conference Championship Betting Trends

NFL title game trends have shown a distinct lean to home teams in recent years. See why the Rams and Chiefs odds might be juicy right now. Read More

Sep 26, 2021; Inglewood, California, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Rob Gronkowski (87) is stopped by Los Angeles Rams safety Nick Scott (33) after a catch in the second half of the game at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Rams Buccaneers Pick, Total Too High?

Is the Bucs Rams total too high? Can the Rams repeat their Week 3 win over Tampa? Trends point to one outcome, get the pick. Read More

Jan 24, 2021; Kansas City, MO, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) is tackled by Kansas City Chiefs defensive end Alex Okafor (57) during the fourth quarter in the AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Divisional Playoff Betting Trends

Trend Dummy is back with hours of NFL database mining nuggets, arming you with NFL divisional playoff betting trends galore. Read More

Oct 3, 2021; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams tight end Tyler Higbee (89) is tackled by Arizona Cardinals defensive end Michael Dogbe (91) and cornerback Byron Murphy (7) in the second half at SoFi Stadium. The Cardinals defeated the Rams 37-20. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Cardinals Rams Prediction, LA Cruises to Win

The Rams have the superior team, even with Arizona getting key players back from injury. Neither team covers in the post-season, so.... Read More

Dec 20, 2020; Arlington, Texas, USA; San Francisco 49ers quarterback Nick Mullens (4) hands off to running back Raheem Mostert (31) against the Dallas Cowboys in the first quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

49ers Cowboys Pick, Dallas Small Home Faves

Dallas is a small home favorite and we predict this line with climb during the week. Bet the Cowboys -3? Trend Dummy weighs in. Read More

Dec 13, 2021; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Arizona Cardinals running back James Conner (6) makes a catch against Los Angeles Rams outside linebacker Leonard Floyd (54) during the first half at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Wild Card Betting Trends

Playoff betting is a whole new level of football handicapping and finding NFL Wild Card betting trends that matter will help. Check it out. Read More

Nov 15, 2021; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel (19) runs for a touchdown past Los Angeles Rams cornerback Robert Rochell (31) in the second quarter at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

49ers Rams Pick, SF Win and In?

The Niners tempt playoff fate by losing here in LA in Week 18. We are not sure they will need Atlanta's help to earn a Wild Card. Read More

Nov 1, 2020; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Dallas Cowboys offensive guard Zack Martin (70) prepares for the snap against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Cowboys Eagles Pick, Dallas Covers in Philly

Philly may play its starters or the Eagles may play possum - Dallas promises to bring its A team, which probably means a Dallas cover. Read More

Dec 27, 2020; Arlington, Texas, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (2) runs the ball against Dallas Cowboys defensive end Aldon Smith (58) in the first quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Week 18 Trends – Cowboys January Disaster

Bettors get to consider Week 18 betting trends for the first time - check out the angles with divisional battles and playoff seeding in play. Read More

Minnesota Vikings defensive end Everson Griffen (97) celebrates after sacking Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) in the first quarter during their football game Sunday, Sept. 16, 2018, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.Uscp 71xb6nzxky91i3cxus6e OriginalSyndication: PackersNewsSyndication: Unknown

Vikings Packers Prediction, OVER best bet?

Is the total the best bet as Minnesota visits Green Bay as Week 17 underdogs? Trend Dummy believes so. Read More

Nov 14, 2021; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) celebrates after a victory against the Atlanta Falcons at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Cardinals Cowboys Pick, Cards upset?

Dallas is winning and getting hype. Arizona is losing and getting trolled. Hype Train, meet the Cardinals.... Read More

Nov 13, 2021; Knoxville, Tennessee, USA; Georgia Bulldogs helmets sit on the sideline in a game against the Tennessee Volunteers at Neyland Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bryan Lynn-USA TODAY Sports

Orange Bowl Betting: Michigan Georgia Pick

Michigan will try to grind the ball on the ground and count on their defense vs favored Georgia. Orange Bowl betting in 2021! Read More

Dec 26, 2021; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire (25) runs for a touchdown against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Chiefs Bengals Pick, KC covers 5 points

KC almost always wins on the road, although they have dropped five straight at Cincy? Which trend continues? Trend Dummy picks KC to cover. Read More

Dec 19, 2021; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) attempts a pass against the New York Jets during the second half at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Dolphins Titans Pick, Chalk and UNDER

The UNDER is probably safer but we play the Titans as small home chalk to end Miami's weird win streak at seven games. Read More

Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford waves at the crowd as he exits the field after the Lions' 28-19 loss to the Rams on Sunday, Oct. 24, 2021, in Inglewood, California.

Rams Ravens Pick, Huntley or Lamar?

The Ravens desperately need this and will win outright or stick around to cover 5.5 point against the visiting LA Rams. Read More

Aug 17, 2020; Berea, Ohio, USA;  Cleveland Browns offensive tackle Jedrick Wills Jr. (71) works on his footwork during training camp at the Cleveland Browns training facility. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Week 17 NFL Betting Trends

Week 17 is the trickiest week for handicapping the NFL. Trend Dummy explains why and shows which trends and angles are meaningful. Read More

Sep 19, 2021; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; New Orleans Saints helmets during the pregame action between the Carolina Panthers and the New Orleans Saints at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports

Dolphins Saints Pick, Under 37 Best Bet?

The Saints are on a 4th string QB, the Dolphins are on a 6-game win streak. Miami is small chalk in Week 16 MNF. Read More

Aug 17, 2019; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Joshua Dobbs (5) runs from Kansas City Chiefs defensive tackle Justin Hamilton (74) during the third quarter at Heinz Field. Mandatory Credit: Philip G. Pavely-USA TODAY Sports

Steelers Chiefs Pick, KC covers again?

KC has covered five straight - make it six at home to Pittsburgh in Week 16 as the Chiefs cover double digits. Read More

Dec 6, 2021; Orchard Park, New York, USA; New England Patriots running back Damien Harris (37) breaks free past Buffalo Bills linebacker Tyrel Dodson (53) and defensive end A.J. Epenesa (57) to score a touchdown in the first quarter at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

Bills Pats Pick, Buffalo Moneyline

The Bills are motivated, the Pats are sagging and the point spread is small for a Buffalo team hungry for revenge. Read More

Dec 20, 2020; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) at the line against the New Orleans Saints during the second half at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Week 16 NFL Betting Trends

Database diver Trend Dummy finds dozens of interesting Week 16 betting trends to consider. Check out the angles and streaks now. Read More

Oct 23, 2021; Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide wide receiver John Metchie III (8) is pushed out of bounds by Tennessee Volunteers defensive back Brandon Turnage (29) during the first half at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports

College Football Bowl Betting Trends

Bowl trends are tricky. Teams seldom face each other head to head but situational trends abound, check out the Dummy's 2021 bowl tips. Read More

Nov 15, 2020; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Josh Reynolds (11) runs the ball against Seattle Seahawks strong safety Jamal Adams (33) during the first half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Seahawks Rams OVER? Tuesday Picks

The Seahawks have covered 6 straight games when dogs of a TD or more. Does the Tuesday Nighter at Rams make it seven? Read More

Dec 20, 2020; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky (10) is sacked by Minnesota Vikings linebacker Todd Davis (40) during the first quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

Vikings Bears Pick, Bears Sneak Back Door

Negative trends galore for both teams and Covid issues in Chicago. Do you trust the Vikings with a TD on the road? We sure don't. Read More

Nov 1, 2020; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Browns defensive tackle Larry Ogunjobi (65) tackles Las Vegas Raiders running back Josh Jacobs (28) during the first quarter at FirstEnergy Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Galvin-USA TODAY Sports

Raiders Browns Pick, Check Covid List

Oh Covid, how do you mess with our point spreads.... check the Browns actives or flip a coin. We play play UNDER just for the chaos factor. Read More

Dec 29, 2019; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings running back Ameer Abdullah (31) is tackled by Chicago Bears safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (21) during the second quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

Week 15 NFL Betting Trends

The Steelers are double digit road favorites again, the Rams face the biggest spread in 20 season and the Jets and Bengals get zero respect again. See Week 15 NFL trends. Read More

Jan 3, 2021; Inglewood, California, USA; Arizona Cardinals cornerback Patrick Peterson (21) reacts during the second quarter against the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Week 14 NFL Betting Trends

Week 14 betting trends show some money-making dog trends and some unmistakable OVER trends. See Trend Dummy's deep database dive. Read More

Nov 1, 2020; Orchard Park, New York, USA; New England Patriots wide receiver Gunner Olszewski (80) is chased by Buffalo Bills defensive end Jerry Hughes (55) on a sweep in the second quarter at Bills Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

Week 13 NFL Betting Trends

Seattle owns a perfect Week 13 trend. The Giants are almost a lock as a road dog. The Saints are awesome on the road. Check out Week 13 NFL trends. Read More

Oct 3, 2021; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills wide receiver Cole Beasley (11) following the game against the Houston Texans at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Bills Saints Pick, Buffalo covers late game

The Saints have lost three straight and still have injury woes. The Bills look the superior - and healthier - team to play well on short rest. Read More

Nov 14, 2021; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) celebrates after a victory against the Atlanta Falcons at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Thanksgiving Day Trends

Some weird angles in our Thanksgiving Day NFL betting trends deep dive. See the streaks and wagering patterns that can help you turn a profit. Read More

Tennessee Titans wide receiver A.J. Brown (11) pulls in a catch under pressure from Houston Texans cornerback Terrance Mitchell (39) during the first quarter at Nissan Stadium Sunday, Nov. 21, 2021 in Nashville, Tenn.Titans Texans 2196

Week 12 NFL Betting Trends

Week 12 features divisional and non-conference battles with some one-sided betting trends, the biggest one on Washington on MNF. Read More

Sep 22, 2019; Tampa, FL, USA;New York Giants offensive tackle Nate Solder (76) blocks during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Week 11 NFL Betting Trends

Can the Steelers possibly fail to cover again as double digit road favorites? Why does Seattle always win and Arizona always lose on Thursday night? Read More

Nov 29, 2020; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams running back Malcom Brown is gang tackled by San Francisco 49ers defenders during the second quarter at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Week 10 Trends: Perfect Betting Streaks

See our Week 10 NFL betting trends wrap featuring terrible 49ers home trends and ugly Seattle @ Green Bay streaks. Read More

Sep 19, 2021; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;  Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin communicates with his team before playing the Las Vegas Raiders at Heinz Field. The Raiders won the game 26-17. Mandatory Credit: Philip G. Pavely-USA TODAY Sports

Bears Steelers Prediction, MNF props, odds

The Steelers never lose on Monday Night. Can the Bears change that in Week 9? Not likely... Read More

Aug 12, 2021; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker Melvin Ingram (8) on the sidelines against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Week 9 NFL Trends

Why does Green Bay struggle so much in November? Why do the Titans play OVER seemingly every week? Trend Dummy has the data and some answers you might not like. Read More

Backwards Oracle Picks

The Backwards Oracle is possibly the worst football bettor on Earth - but his failure can be our profits. We fade him each week. Read More

Dec 26, 2020; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (1) drops back to pass against the San Francisco 49ers during the first half at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Packers Cardinals Betting Pick, TNF Trends

The Packers have just enough things working against them that Trend Dummy feels safe fading Aaron Rodgers in Prime Time. Read More

Nov 8, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA;New Orleans Saints quarterback Jameis Winston (2) throws the ball as Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive end William Gholston (92) rushes  during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Week 8 NFL Betting Trends – Saints, Titans locks?

Get Week 8 NFL betting trends update including several key divisional streaks and mind-blowing October trends. Read More

Dec 25, 2020; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; New Orleans Saints quarterback Taysom Hill (7) talks to head coach Sean Payton and offensive coordinator Pete Carmichael in the second quarter at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

Week 7 Trends – Seahawks dominate MNF

The Saints continue their unthinkable ATS streak in October, the Giants look like money in the bank on Thursday and the 49ers are unlucky as hell is lucky Week 7. Read More

Sep 12, 2021; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers outside linebacker T.J. Watt (90) takes a drink against the Buffalo Bills during the second half at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Week 6 NFL Betting Trends

Trend Dummy finds angles for Week 6, don't wager a penny until you make sure there are no evil trends waiting to wreck your bet. Read More

Dec 26, 2020; Paradise, Nevada, USA; A general view of a Las Vegas Raiders helmet outside of Allegiant Stadium  before the game against the Miami Dolphins. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Ravens Raiders Betting Pick, Props, MNF Preview

All the trends favor the Baltimore Ravens, but they are road chalk despite a spate of injuries. Can the Raiders cover the Monday Night spread? Read More

Jan 9, 2021; Landover, Maryland, USA; Washington Football Team coaching intern Jennifer King tosses a ball on. The field prior to the Washington Football Team's game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at FedExField. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Super Bowl 55 Betting Recap

The Gatorade was blue, the anthem went long and greedy Tom Brady grabbed another Super Bowl MVP. See the Super Bowl 55 betting results. Read More

Nov 29, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Le'Veon Bell (26) runs the ball against Tampa Bay Buccaneers inside linebacker Devin White (45) during the first half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Super Bowl 55 Betting Trends: Kansas City vs Tampa Bay

Tampa has been in this underdog situation four times and won outright every time. Does that bother KC bettors as Super Bowl 55 betting trends loom? Read More

Dec 27, 2020; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) runs the ball against the Atlanta Falcons in the second half at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Home Teams Favored in Conference Odds

What are the biggest factors on the conference championship odds menu? Patrick Mahomes baseline concussion test and Wisconsin weather forecast. Read More

Dec 29, 2019; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings inside linebacker Cameron Smith (59) tackles Chicago Bears running back David Montgomery (32) during the third quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Harrison Barden-USA TODAY Sports

Vikings Bears Pick, MNF Betting

Minnesota is a road favorite in a place where they almost never win. And Chicago owns all the positive MNF betting trends. Trust the Vikes at -3? Read More

new england patriots home underdogs

Patriots Home Underdogs Domination

The Patriots have long dominated as home underdogs, in those rare cases when they got points at home. What happens now that Tom Brady is gone? Read More

Oct 25, 2020; Nashville, Tennessee, USA;  Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (7) throws a pass against the Tennessee Titans during the second half at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-USA TODAY Sports

Double Digit Road Favorites: Bet Home Dog?

Pittsburgh is a double digit road favorite in Week 9. How should NFL bettors handicap this rare situation? Have you seen the Steelers record as big road favorites?? Read More

Seahawks Cardinals Pick, SNF Analysis

If you are betting Seattle vs Arizona on Sunday Night, you have to be careful of the half point. Trend Dummy plays the OVER UNDER instead of the point spread here. Read More

Sep 19, 2020; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;  Syracuse Orange quarterback Rex Culpepper (17) looks to pass  against the Pittsburgh Panthers during the second quarter at Heinz Field. The Panthers won 21-10. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Syracuse betting trends: Clemson beware big dog

Should Clemson seriously be concerned about Syracuse, even as 46.5-point underdogs? Louisville didn't take the Orange seriously 13 years ago as 37.5-point underdogs and look what happened. Read More

Aug 25, 2018; Pittsburgh, PA, USA;  Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin (L) and Tennessee Titans head coach Mike Vrabel (R) talk before their game at Heinz Field. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Steelers Titans: Unbeaten = Dog and UNDER?

When unbeaten teams meet later in the season, the underdogs have covered spreads and games have gone UNDER the total. Will history repeat in Pittsburgh vs Tennessee? Read More

Dec 29, 2019; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Miles Sanders (26) runs the ball against the New York Giants in the first half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Week 7 Opening Odds Report

The Jets are a historic home underdog and the Bills are historic road favorites (sort of). See NFL Week 7 opening odds report. Read More

Oct 6, 2019; Nashville, TN, USA; Tennessee Titans kicker Cairo Santos (7) misses his first of two field goals during the first half against the Buffalo Bills at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Bills vs Titans Pick, Analysis

The point spread in the Buffalo Tennessee matchup scares the hell out of us. We like the OVER UNDER play a lot better and here's why. Read More

NFL Notebook: Ravens QB situation gets a little cloudier

Bengals vs Ravens Pick, Lamar vs Burrow

It's the reigning NFL MVP against the No. 1 overall pick in the draft as Lamar Jackson's Ravens face Joe Burrow's Bengals. Can you say back-door cover? Read More

Oct 23, 2016; Glendale, AZ, USA; Seattle Seahawks special teams coordinator Brian Schneider (left) and head coach Pete Carroll against the Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium. The game ended in a 6-6 tie after overtime. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

OVERs continue to hit in Week 4

OVERs continue to hit in the NFL and totals numbers are climbing again for Week 5. See the latest OVER UNDER betting theory. Read More

Jan 19, 2020; Santa Clara, California, USA; Green Bay Packers nose tackle Kenny Clark (97) reacts after a defensive play during the first half in the NFC Championship Game at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

Falcons vs Packers Betting Pick, MNF Best Bet

Is this game destined to fly OVER the total? Are the Falcons too desperate with their start and the Packers too comfortable with theirs? Read More

Sep 13, 2020; Orchard Park, New York, USA; New York Jets wide receiver Jamison Crowder (82) warms up prior to the game against the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Broncos vs Jets Pick, TNF Best Bet

A Thursday Night Turkey Bowl of 0-3 teams might be just as bland as bettors predict. We play safely UNDER as our Thursday Night best bet. Read More

Sep 22, 2019; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) runs against Baltimore Ravens outside linebacker Matt Judon  (99) during the second half at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Chiefs Ravens Pick, Monday Night Trends

The Super Bowl 55 futures list will have a new leader after Monday Night, as the co-favorite Ravens and Chiefs lock up. We have the Chiefs Ravens pick of the night here at NFP. Read More

Sep 13, 2020; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA;  Las Vegas Raiders running back Josh Jacobs (28) with the ball as Carolina Panthers safety Jeremy Chinn (21) defends in the second quarter at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

Saints vs Raiders Pick, MNF Analysis

New Orleans enjoys a lot of positive Monday Night football betting trends here, but the Trend Dummy believes the Raiders can pull the upset. Read More

Aug 22, 2019; Foxborough, MA, USA; Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton (1) is forced out of the pocket by New England Patriots outside linebacker Dont'a Hightower (54) during the first half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports

Patriots vs Seahawks SNF Pick

The Patriots always cover as September underdogs. The Seahawks always cover as September home favorites. So let's bet the over under instead Sunday Night. Read More

Dec 29, 2019; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Damien Williams (26) runs the ball as Los Angeles Chargers outside linebacker Thomas Davis (58) attempts the tackle during the game at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Chiefs Chargers Pick, Betting Analysis

Are the Chiefs the right bet here or is the oddsmaker just leading us down the path? Trend Dummy is following the crowd - straight to betting window to pick up his winnings. Read More

Dec 8, 2019; Cleveland, OH, USA; Cincinnati Bengals outside linebacker Jordan Evans (50) defends against a pass to Cleveland Browns tight end David Njoku (85) during the second half at FirstEnergy Stadium. The pass fell incomplete. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

TNF Betting Trends

Cleveland is favored by 6 points and maybe that's a good thing for Brown bettors? Read More

Sep 13, 2020; Inglewood, California, USA; Dallas Cowboys tight end Blake Jarwin (89) leaves the field after being injured during the first half against the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Betting Recap NFL Debrief

Week 1 betting recap shows underdogs beating favorites and OVERs trumping UNDERs. Read More

Jan 9, 2020; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA;  (from left) New York Giants CEO John Mara, new head coach Joe Judge, and co-owner Steve Tisch pose for photos at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports

Steelers vs Giants MNF Pick

The Steelers look for a 10th straight Monday Night win against a team debuting a head coach and which struggles mightily with the point spread at home. Read More

Nov 17, 2019; Tampa, FL, USA;Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive tackle Demar Dotson (69) blocks New Orleans Saints outside linebacker A.J. Klein (53) during the first half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Saints Bucs Pick

If Brady vs Brees in Week 1 smells like an UNDER play to you, you might need to check your sniffer. Read More