Trend Dummy
Trend Dummy
Trend Dummy (not his real name) is a veteran sports betting writer, who really should be a lot smarter by now. Starting with a betting trends fascination in 1993, Dummy has been chasing trends, patterns, streaks and mathematical anomalies ever since. A serious data miner with real databases and legitimate betting acumen, he sometimes stretches stats to fit a narrative. The data sources are legit, the ‘trends’ are legit – you decide if the trends have handicapping value or not.
Posts By Trend Dummy
October 05, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Eagles Cardinals Pick, Philly to Cover
Philly is 4-0, while Arizona is luck to not be 0-4. On paper, this is one-sided and easy money at 5 points but we don't play on paper. Read More
October 05, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Colts Broncos Pick, UNDER on TNF?
Two underachieving teams, two shitty offenses, lots of UNDER trends - does Denver-Indianapolis go UNDER on Week 5 TNF? Read More
October 05, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Pittsburgh Steelers Buffalo Bills Pick – Lay the Wood
In betting school, they warn you against backing huge favorites. This Week 5 Steelers-Bills game is different, ignore the rule. Read More
October 04, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 5 NFL Betting Trends
Its the biggest Steelers dog number ever, UNDER trends galore on Thursday - check out Trend Dummy's database mining results. Read More
September 30, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Rams 49ers Betting Prediction, MNF Dog & UNDER?
The Rams start to turn the Tide on the 49ers, after getting rolled for multiple seasons. LA can win outright here in the Week 4 MNF game. Read More
September 28, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Buffalo Baltimore Pick, Bills Blowout
Buffalo is too good to lose two in a row, even in a tough environment at Baltimore. They will cover easily in Week 4. Read More
September 27, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 4 trends – Saints win, Dolphins lose
Week 4 NFL trends see a continuing streak for the Saints and more from the NFL betting database. Read More
September 20, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 3 Trends – Miami, Green Bay as Dogs?
Week 3 NFL betting trends find some perfect OVER trends and compelling ATS streaks as well. Check out Trend Dummy's research. Read More
September 20, 2022 - Trend Dummy
NFL 0-2 Teams Out of Playoffs
Your team is 0-2 and you can forget about the playoffs. That's what history tells us. Read More
September 15, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Miami Baltimore Pick, UNDER the play?
Baltimore had dominated Miami before getting smacked last season. The Ravens are small home chalk but the total is the best bet. Read More
September 14, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 2 Trends: Seahawks 11-1 ATS as dog angle
Week 2 NFL betting trends offer a bounty of one-sided angles you should consider before placing your Week 2 wagers. Read More
September 06, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 1 NFL Trends
Seattle bites hard as an underdog, the Rams get off to quick starts and the Colts have been a guaranteed loss in recent season openers. Read More
September 06, 2022 - Trend Dummy
NFL MVP Betting Odds
NFL MVP odds always generate discussion and plenty of wagering each NFL preseason. See who the NFL MVP favorites and darkhorses are this season. Read More
September 01, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Bet against Super Bowl losers in Week 1
There was a time, not too long ago, when betting against the loser of the Super Bowl in Week 1 of the following season was a lock. A guaranteed winner. Easy money. Read More
August 30, 2022 - Trend Dummy
College football betting trends Week 1 2022
Notre Dame almost never wins as double-digit dogs, but they are catching 17 points at Ohio State - plenty of room to lose and still cover. Read More
August 29, 2022 - Trend Dummy
West Virginia Pitt Pick, UNDER 51?
Pitt opens as the No. 17 ranked team but West Virginia aims to knock them down early, just like in the old Backyard Brawl days. Read More
February 02, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Super Bowl Parlays: FanDuel Bets, Props
Parlays can be fun, they can also be super profitable. FanDuel's early lineup of Super Bowl parlays features stars of Super Bowl 56. Read More
January 31, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Super Bowl 56 Betting Trends
Super Bowl 56 trends favor the underdogs overall and Cincy specifically, but the Rams head-to-head and as chalk. Read More
January 31, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds Should Not Be 50-50
The Super Bowl coin toss is definitely not a 50-50 proposition. Just look at the facts and win your wagers on Super Bowl 55. Read More
January 30, 2022 - Trend Dummy
49ers Rams Pick, NFC Title Game Upset
Can the 49ers make it lucky 7 wins in a row vs the Rams? History says yes, trends say yes and the point spread is tempting. Read More
January 24, 2022 - Trend Dummy
NFL Conference Championship Betting Trends
NFL title game trends have shown a distinct lean to home teams in recent years. See why the Rams and Chiefs odds might be juicy right now. Read More
January 19, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Rams Buccaneers Pick, Total Too High?
Is the Bucs Rams total too high? Can the Rams repeat their Week 3 win over Tampa? Trends point to one outcome, get the pick. Read More
January 18, 2022 - Trend Dummy
NFL Divisional Playoff Betting Trends
Trend Dummy is back with hours of NFL database mining nuggets, arming you with NFL divisional playoff betting trends galore. Read More
January 15, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Cardinals Rams Prediction, LA Cruises to Win
The Rams have the superior team, even with Arizona getting key players back from injury. Neither team covers in the post-season, so.... Read More
January 12, 2022 - Trend Dummy
49ers Cowboys Pick, Dallas Small Home Faves
Dallas is a small home favorite and we predict this line with climb during the week. Bet the Cowboys -3? Trend Dummy weighs in. Read More
January 10, 2022 - Trend Dummy
NFL Wild Card Betting Trends
Playoff betting is a whole new level of football handicapping and finding NFL Wild Card betting trends that matter will help. Check it out. Read More
January 08, 2022 - Trend Dummy
49ers Rams Pick, SF Win and In?
The Niners tempt playoff fate by losing here in LA in Week 18. We are not sure they will need Atlanta's help to earn a Wild Card. Read More
January 07, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Cowboys Eagles Pick, Dallas Covers in Philly
Philly may play its starters or the Eagles may play possum - Dallas promises to bring its A team, which probably means a Dallas cover. Read More
January 03, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 18 Trends – Cowboys January Disaster
Bettors get to consider Week 18 betting trends for the first time - check out the angles with divisional battles and playoff seeding in play. Read More
January 02, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Vikings Packers Prediction, OVER best bet?
Is the total the best bet as Minnesota visits Green Bay as Week 17 underdogs? Trend Dummy believes so. Read More
January 01, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Cardinals Cowboys Pick, Cards upset?
Dallas is winning and getting hype. Arizona is losing and getting trolled. Hype Train, meet the Cardinals.... Read More
December 31, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Orange Bowl Betting: Michigan Georgia Pick
Michigan will try to grind the ball on the ground and count on their defense vs favored Georgia. Orange Bowl betting in 2021! Read More
December 30, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Chiefs Bengals Pick, KC covers 5 points
KC almost always wins on the road, although they have dropped five straight at Cincy? Which trend continues? Trend Dummy picks KC to cover. Read More
December 30, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Dolphins Titans Pick, Chalk and UNDER
The UNDER is probably safer but we play the Titans as small home chalk to end Miami's weird win streak at seven games. Read More
December 30, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Rams Ravens Pick, Huntley or Lamar?
The Ravens desperately need this and will win outright or stick around to cover 5.5 point against the visiting LA Rams. Read More
December 28, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 17 NFL Betting Trends
Week 17 is the trickiest week for handicapping the NFL. Trend Dummy explains why and shows which trends and angles are meaningful. Read More
December 26, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Dolphins Saints Pick, Under 37 Best Bet?
The Saints are on a 4th string QB, the Dolphins are on a 6-game win streak. Miami is small chalk in Week 16 MNF. Read More
December 24, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Steelers Chiefs Pick, KC covers again?
KC has covered five straight - make it six at home to Pittsburgh in Week 16 as the Chiefs cover double digits. Read More
December 22, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Bills Pats Pick, Buffalo Moneyline
The Bills are motivated, the Pats are sagging and the point spread is small for a Buffalo team hungry for revenge. Read More
December 22, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 16 NFL Betting Trends
Database diver Trend Dummy finds dozens of interesting Week 16 betting trends to consider. Check out the angles and streaks now. Read More
December 22, 2021 - Trend Dummy
College Football Bowl Betting Trends
Bowl trends are tricky. Teams seldom face each other head to head but situational trends abound, check out the Dummy's 2021 bowl tips. Read More
December 21, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Seahawks Rams OVER? Tuesday Picks
The Seahawks have covered 6 straight games when dogs of a TD or more. Does the Tuesday Nighter at Rams make it seven? Read More
December 20, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Vikings Bears Pick, Bears Sneak Back Door
Negative trends galore for both teams and Covid issues in Chicago. Do you trust the Vikings with a TD on the road? We sure don't. Read More
December 20, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Raiders Browns Pick, Check Covid List
Oh Covid, how do you mess with our point spreads.... check the Browns actives or flip a coin. We play play UNDER just for the chaos factor. Read More
December 15, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 15 NFL Betting Trends
The Steelers are double digit road favorites again, the Rams face the biggest spread in 20 season and the Jets and Bengals get zero respect again. See Week 15 NFL trends. Read More
December 07, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 14 NFL Betting Trends
Week 14 betting trends show some money-making dog trends and some unmistakable OVER trends. See Trend Dummy's deep database dive. Read More
November 30, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 13 NFL Betting Trends
Seattle owns a perfect Week 13 trend. The Giants are almost a lock as a road dog. The Saints are awesome on the road. Check out Week 13 NFL trends. Read More
November 24, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Bills Saints Pick, Buffalo covers late game
The Saints have lost three straight and still have injury woes. The Bills look the superior - and healthier - team to play well on short rest. Read More
November 23, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Thanksgiving Day Trends
Some weird angles in our Thanksgiving Day NFL betting trends deep dive. See the streaks and wagering patterns that can help you turn a profit. Read More
November 22, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 12 NFL Betting Trends
Week 12 features divisional and non-conference battles with some one-sided betting trends, the biggest one on Washington on MNF. Read More
November 16, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 11 NFL Betting Trends
Can the Steelers possibly fail to cover again as double digit road favorites? Why does Seattle always win and Arizona always lose on Thursday night? Read More
November 11, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 10 Trends: Perfect Betting Streaks
See our Week 10 NFL betting trends wrap featuring terrible 49ers home trends and ugly Seattle @ Green Bay streaks. Read More
November 08, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Bears Steelers Prediction, MNF props, odds
The Steelers never lose on Monday Night. Can the Bears change that in Week 9? Not likely... Read More
November 02, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 9 NFL Trends
Why does Green Bay struggle so much in November? Why do the Titans play OVER seemingly every week? Trend Dummy has the data and some answers you might not like. Read More
November 01, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Backwards Oracle Picks
The Backwards Oracle is possibly the worst football bettor on Earth - but his failure can be our profits. We fade him each week. Read More
October 26, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Packers Cardinals Betting Pick, TNF Trends
The Packers have just enough things working against them that Trend Dummy feels safe fading Aaron Rodgers in Prime Time. Read More
October 26, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 8 NFL Betting Trends – Saints, Titans locks?
Get Week 8 NFL betting trends update including several key divisional streaks and mind-blowing October trends. Read More
October 23, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 7 Trends – Seahawks dominate MNF
The Saints continue their unthinkable ATS streak in October, the Giants look like money in the bank on Thursday and the 49ers are unlucky as hell is lucky Week 7. Read More
October 14, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Week 6 NFL Betting Trends
Trend Dummy finds angles for Week 6, don't wager a penny until you make sure there are no evil trends waiting to wreck your bet. Read More
September 13, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Ravens Raiders Betting Pick, Props, MNF Preview
All the trends favor the Baltimore Ravens, but they are road chalk despite a spate of injuries. Can the Raiders cover the Monday Night spread? Read More
February 08, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Super Bowl 55 Betting Recap
The Gatorade was blue, the anthem went long and greedy Tom Brady grabbed another Super Bowl MVP. See the Super Bowl 55 betting results. Read More
January 25, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Super Bowl 55 Betting Trends: Kansas City vs Tampa Bay
Tampa has been in this underdog situation four times and won outright every time. Does that bother KC bettors as Super Bowl 55 betting trends loom? Read More
January 18, 2021 - Trend Dummy
Home Teams Favored in Conference Odds
What are the biggest factors on the conference championship odds menu? Patrick Mahomes baseline concussion test and Wisconsin weather forecast. Read More
November 15, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Vikings Bears Pick, MNF Betting
Minnesota is a road favorite in a place where they almost never win. And Chicago owns all the positive MNF betting trends. Trust the Vikes at -3? Read More
November 15, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Patriots Home Underdogs Domination
The Patriots have long dominated as home underdogs, in those rare cases when they got points at home. What happens now that Tom Brady is gone? Read More
November 09, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Double Digit Road Favorites: Bet Home Dog?
Pittsburgh is a double digit road favorite in Week 9. How should NFL bettors handicap this rare situation? Have you seen the Steelers record as big road favorites?? Read More
October 25, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Seahawks Cardinals Pick, SNF Analysis
If you are betting Seattle vs Arizona on Sunday Night, you have to be careful of the half point. Trend Dummy plays the OVER UNDER instead of the point spread here. Read More
October 24, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Syracuse betting trends: Clemson beware big dog
Should Clemson seriously be concerned about Syracuse, even as 46.5-point underdogs? Louisville didn't take the Orange seriously 13 years ago as 37.5-point underdogs and look what happened. Read More
October 20, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Steelers Titans: Unbeaten = Dog and UNDER?
When unbeaten teams meet later in the season, the underdogs have covered spreads and games have gone UNDER the total. Will history repeat in Pittsburgh vs Tennessee? Read More
October 20, 2020 - Trend Dummy
NFL Week 7 Opening Odds Report
The Jets are a historic home underdog and the Bills are historic road favorites (sort of). See NFL Week 7 opening odds report. Read More
October 13, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Bills vs Titans Pick, Analysis
The point spread in the Buffalo Tennessee matchup scares the hell out of us. We like the OVER UNDER play a lot better and here's why. Read More
October 07, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Bengals vs Ravens Pick, Lamar vs Burrow
It's the reigning NFL MVP against the No. 1 overall pick in the draft as Lamar Jackson's Ravens face Joe Burrow's Bengals. Can you say back-door cover? Read More
October 05, 2020 - Trend Dummy
OVERs continue to hit in Week 4
OVERs continue to hit in the NFL and totals numbers are climbing again for Week 5. See the latest OVER UNDER betting theory. Read More
October 04, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Falcons vs Packers Betting Pick, MNF Best Bet
Is this game destined to fly OVER the total? Are the Falcons too desperate with their start and the Packers too comfortable with theirs? Read More
September 30, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Broncos vs Jets Pick, TNF Best Bet
A Thursday Night Turkey Bowl of 0-3 teams might be just as bland as bettors predict. We play safely UNDER as our Thursday Night best bet. Read More
September 28, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Chiefs Ravens Pick, Monday Night Trends
The Super Bowl 55 futures list will have a new leader after Monday Night, as the co-favorite Ravens and Chiefs lock up. We have the Chiefs Ravens pick of the night here at NFP. Read More
September 21, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Saints vs Raiders Pick, MNF Analysis
New Orleans enjoys a lot of positive Monday Night football betting trends here, but the Trend Dummy believes the Raiders can pull the upset. Read More
September 20, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Patriots vs Seahawks SNF Pick
The Patriots always cover as September underdogs. The Seahawks always cover as September home favorites. So let's bet the over under instead Sunday Night. Read More
September 18, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Chiefs Chargers Pick, Betting Analysis
Are the Chiefs the right bet here or is the oddsmaker just leading us down the path? Trend Dummy is following the crowd - straight to betting window to pick up his winnings. Read More
September 15, 2020 - Trend Dummy
TNF Betting Trends
Cleveland is favored by 6 points and maybe that's a good thing for Brown bettors? Read More
September 14, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Betting Recap NFL Debrief
Week 1 betting recap shows underdogs beating favorites and OVERs trumping UNDERs. Read More
September 13, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Steelers vs Giants MNF Pick
The Steelers look for a 10th straight Monday Night win against a team debuting a head coach and which struggles mightily with the point spread at home. Read More
September 13, 2020 - Trend Dummy
Saints Bucs Pick
If Brady vs Brees in Week 1 smells like an UNDER play to you, you might need to check your sniffer. Read More
