Trend Dummy
Trend Dummy
Trend Dummy (not his real name) is a veteran sports betting writer, who really should be a lot smarter by now. Starting with a betting trends fascination in 1993, Dummy has been chasing trends, patterns, streaks and mathematical anomalies ever since. A serious data miner with real databases and legitimate betting acumen, he sometimes stretches stats to fit a narrative. The data sources are legit, the ‘trends’ are legit – you decide if the trends have handicapping value or not.
Posts By Trend Dummy
October 03, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Week 5 NFL Betting Trends
The 49ers are cover machines at home but get the Cowboys Sunday. More Week 5 trends, check out Trend Dummy's database mining results. Read More
October 01, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Seahawks Giants Pick, MNF OVER
Seattle performs very well in the Eastern time zone, they travel well and they are now favored over the Giants in the Week 4 MNF game. Read More
September 28, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Dolphins Bills Prediction, Tua OVER
Miami and Buffalo in Week 4 Game of the Year. The Dolphins are small dogs to the Bills, who might just smack the young Fins. Read More
September 26, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Week 4 trends – Bills dominate Dolphins
Week 4 NFL trends see a continuing streak for the Saints and more from the NFL betting database. Read More
September 25, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Rams Bengals Pick, LA Covers, Higgins TeeDee
The Rams look to spring the upset and the Rams Bengals pick sides with LA to cover a growing point spread with Joe Burrow limping. Read More
September 25, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Lions Packers Prediction, Lions Cover, Love INT
Detroit should be able to handle a lucky Packers team as small favorites on short rest in the Week 4 Thursday Night matchup. Read More
September 25, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Eagles Buccaneers Pick, Hurts TD, Baker INT
Philly is favored rightfully but is the Eagles Buccaneers pick in Week 3 MNF as easy as that? Trend Dummy says yes, with props as well. Read More
September 19, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Giants 49ers Pick, SF easy cover on TNF
The Thursday Nighter in Week 3 yields a Giants 49ers pick that is too simple to ignore. SF is the far superior squad and 10 points is easy. Read More
September 19, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Week 3 Trends – Double-Digit Dogs Galore
Week 3 NFL betting trends find some UNDER trends and compelling ATS streaks as well. Check out Trend Dummy's research. Read More
September 19, 2023 - Trend Dummy
NFL 0-2 Teams Out of Playoffs
Your team is 0-2 and you can forget about the playoffs. That's what history tells us. Read More
September 18, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Browns Steelers Monday Night Pick, Props, Odds, Trends
Cleveland has a long history of losing in Pittsburgh, which has a long history of winning Monday Night home games - forget all that. Read More
September 18, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Saints Panthers Betting Pick, Props, MNF UNDER
Two Monday Nighters and the Saints Panthers betting pick avoids the spread to focus on the low total. Read More
September 13, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Vikings Eagles Pick, OVER and Devonta TD
A Vikings Eagles pick in Week 2 on a short week? Philly usually fails to cover in Week 2, that OVER looks tempting... Read More
![Published Caption: Patriots receiver N Keal Harry fends off Dolphins defender Jerome Baker after a third-quarter reception in Week 1. [The Providence Journal / Kris Craig] Original Caption: Patriots receiver N'Keal Harry fends off Dolphins defender Jerome Baker after a third-quarter reception in Week 1.Patriots Expecting More From N Keal Harry](https://www.nationalfootballpost.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/15582112-1-255x155.jpg "Published Caption: Patriots receiver N Keal Harry fends off Dolphins defender Jerome Baker after a third-quarter reception in Week 1. [The Providence Journal / Kris Craig] Original Caption: Patriots receiver N'Keal Harry fends off Dolphins defender Jerome Baker after a third-quarter reception in Week 1.Patriots Expecting More From N Keal Harry")
September 12, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Week 2 Trends: Steelers win on MNF
Week 2 NFL betting trends offer a bounty of one-sided angles you should consider before placing your Week 2 wagers. Read More
September 10, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Bills Jets Pick, MNF goes UNDER?
Buffalo Bills and New York Jets seldom play meaningful games, but the Week 1 MNF means a lot. Get the free Bills Jets pick now. Read More
September 08, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Eagles Patriots Pick, Betting Trends, Props, Odds, Preview
Philly is determined to return to Super Bowl 58 and the Eagles Patriots pick in Week 1 is an easy one - we play the Eagles -4. Read More
September 08, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Week 1 NFL Trends – Pats Lose as Home Dogs
Week 1 NFL betting trends seem to hold steady year over year, despite the changes in rosters and coaching. Check it out. Read More
September 07, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Lions Chiefs Betting, Picks, Props, How to Bet
KC opens defense of its Super Bowl crown vs Detroit and the Lions Chiefs pick here targets the total, not the point spread in Week 1. Read More
September 07, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Bet against Super Bowl losers in Week 1
There was a time, not too long ago, when betting against the loser of the Super Bowl in Week 1 of the following season was a lock. A guaranteed winner. Easy money. Read More
February 08, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Super Bowl 57 Picks: Chiefs Eagles Betting
Philly lays a small number which Trend Dummy feels they will cover easily vs KC. Get Super Bowl 57 picks and more here. Read More
February 03, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Super Bowl 57 Betting Trends
History doesn't always foretell the future but when it comes to Super Bowl 57 betting trends, it sure seems to offer some great value. Read More
February 03, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds Should Not Be 50-50
The Super Bowl coin toss is definitely not a 50-50 proposition. Just look at the facts and win your wagers on Super Bowl 57. Read More
January 26, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Bengals Chiefs AFC Pick, UNDER Best Bet?
The Bengals Chiefs AFC pick in the conference title game sees bettors focused on the total, moreso than the pickem spread. Read More
January 26, 2023 - Trend Dummy
49ers Eagles Pick, NFC Title Game Props
The 49ers Eagles pick seems safer on the total than the point spread. There are UNDER trends and SF trends however. Read More
January 23, 2023 - Trend Dummy
NFL Championship Betting Trends
NFL championship betting trends have shown a distinct lean to home teams in recent years. But dog and UNDER may be the best bets. Read More
January 21, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Cowboys 49ers Playoff Pick, SF wins big
San Francisco is a small home dog which makes the Cowboys 49ers playoff pick an easy one for us in the NFC divisional round. Read More
January 21, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Bengals Bills Playoff Pick, UNDER best bet?
Buffalo is favored but should your Bengals Bills playoff pick focus on the point spread or the total on Sunday? Read More
January 20, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Giants Eagles Prediction, Divisional Playoff Pick
The public is rushing to back the underdog Giants early - the professionals are probably waiting to hammer the Eagles late. Read More
January 20, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Jaguars Chiefs Pick, Divisional Playoff Prediction
KC gets a week of rest to plot the demise of Jacksonville's playoff run. They get the job done here covering a big home number. Read More
January 17, 2023 - Trend Dummy
NFL Divisional Playoff Betting Trends
Trend Dummy is back with hours of NFL database mining nuggets, arming you with NFL divisional playoff betting trends galore. Read More
January 14, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Cowboys Bucs Pick, Brady Bests Dak
Tom Brady has never lost to Dallas. Does that make your Cowboys Bucs pick easier on Wild Card Weekend? Read More
January 09, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Seahawks 49ers Wild Card Pick, SF Rolls
Seattle is lucky to be here. San Francisco is three steps from the Super Bowl. First step is to cover 10 points in the Wild Card round. Read More
January 09, 2023 - Trend Dummy
NFL Wild Card Betting Trends
Playoff betting is a whole new level of football handicapping and finding NFL Wild Card betting trends that matter will help. Check it out. Read More
January 09, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Georgia TCU Pick, Dogs Over Frogs
Georgia looks for back-to-back national titles and there is probably little that TCU can do to prevent it from happening. Read More
January 04, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Ravens Bengals Prediction, UNDER best bet?
The Bengals are home chalk to Baltimore in a divisional tilt that has handicappers wondering about motivation on both sides. Read More
January 03, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Week 18 Trends – Fade Chiefs
Bettors get to consider Week 18 betting trends for the first time - check out the angles with divisional battles and playoff seeding in play. Read More
January 02, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Bills Bengals Pick, Cincy ML Win
Buffalo lays 1.5 points on the road against a Cincy that has covered spreads galore - are the Bengals a solid ML bet? Read More
January 02, 2023 - Trend Dummy
Week 17 NFL Betting Trends
Week 17 is the trickiest week for handicapping the NFL. Trend Dummy explains why and shows which trends and angles are meaningful. Read More
December 26, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Chargers Colts Pick, Herbert Covers
The Colts are home dogs but the Week 16 MNF matchups has more to with the playoff-hungry Chargers and their star QB. Read More
December 22, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Bengals Patriots Pick, Cincy Covers 3
This might be the best bet of the week if Cincinnati -3 at New England stays on the board until kickoff Saturday. Read More
December 21, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Jaguars Jets Pick, OVER 38
The Jets need a win to keep the Jaguars behind them in the Wild Card race. But is the total the best bet in Week 16's Thursday Nighter? Read More
December 20, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 16 NFL Betting Trends
Database diver Trend Dummy finds dozens of interesting Week 16 betting trends to consider. Check out the angles and streaks now. Read More
December 19, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Rams Packers Pick, Rodgers OV TD passes
Aaron Rodgers pledges to throw the ball, the Packers always beat the Rams at home and have won 13 straight in December. MNF pick? Read More
December 16, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Dolphins Bills Prediction, UNDER, Hill TD
Sloppy weather, stout defense and a presumed commitment to the run game - let's play Buffalo Miami UNDER the total. Read More
December 14, 2022 - Trend Dummy
49ers Seahawks Prediction, OVER TNF Bet
Betting against Seattle in late-season home games when they are underdogs has proven a seriously money-losing idea over the years. Read More
December 13, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 15 NFL Betting Trends
Seattle is a monster as late-season home underdogs and the Packers ride a 13-0 SU streak in December. See Week 15 NFL trends. Read More
December 12, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Patriots Cardinals Pick, OVER & Henry TD
The spread looks sketchy, the total looks like the best bet here as the Pats visits the Cards in the Week 14 Monday Nighter. Read More
December 10, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Buccaneers 49ers Pick, UNDER trends galore
There are UNDER trends galore, but the total is just 37 as Tampa Bay visits San Francisco. Can it possibly stay UNDER? Read More
December 06, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 14 NFL Betting Trends
Week 14 betting trends show some money-making dog trends and some unmistakable OVER trends. See Trend Dummy's deep database dive. Read More
December 04, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Raiders Rams Pick, Vegas Covers 6
The Raiders are rising, the Rams are fading and we see that trend continuing in the Week 14 Thursday Nighter. Read More
December 03, 2022 - Trend Dummy
New Orleans Tampa Bay Prediction, UNDER TDs
Sad to predict the UNDER 4.5 TDs as a best bet in your Monday Nighter but that's where the Saints Bucs game has led our money. Read More
November 30, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Bills Patriots Prediction, Buffalo Covers TNF
The Bills have owned the Pats since Brady and should be able to continue that with a Week 13 TNF cover. Read More
November 29, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 13 NFL Betting Trends
KC is favored at Cincy but hasn't won there since 1984. December trends show perfection in several games, check out the list. Read More
November 28, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Steelers Colts Pick, Taylor 2 TDs?
Indy is a small favorite to Pittsburgh in the Week 12 Monday Nighter - back a bad home over a bad road team? Maybe OVER 39.5? Read More
November 24, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 12 NFL Betting Trends
Week 12 features divisional and non-conference battles with some one-sided betting trends, including three Thursday games. Read More
November 23, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Patriots Vikings Pick, Thanksgiving Day UNDER
Can the Patriots replicate the Cowboys domination of the Vikings? Minnesota has a short week to figure out how to cover 2.5 points. Read More
November 23, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Bills Lions Pick, Dog & UNDER?
Buffalo hasn't looked like Super Bowl contenders lately and the Lions never do - but 10 points is a lot on the road and that total is high. Read More
November 23, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Thanksgiving Day Trends
Some weird angles in our Thanksgiving Day NFL betting trends deep dive. See the streaks and wagering patterns that can help you turn a profit. Read More
November 21, 2022 - Trend Dummy
49ers Cardinals Prediction, SF Offense Rolls
Arizona's home game is in Mexico this week so maybe that terrible 1-9 streak won't apply. Maybe it will as SF's offense rolls. Read More
November 16, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Titans Packers Pick, Green Bay cover?
The Titans have covered seven straight games but will be in tough to make it 8 at Green Bay, which feels it has turned the corner on the season. Read More
November 16, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 11 NFL Betting Trends
The Giants are UNDER machines at home and the Chiefs never lose to AFC West foes. What else is up for Week 11 betting trends? Read More
November 13, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Washington Philadelphia Pick, Dog & UNDER?
Philly probably won't blow out the defensively sound and offensively pesky Commanders. Bet the dog or check out the UNDER trends? Read More
November 12, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Vikings Bills Pick, Allen Elbow Questions
Buffalo is favored small without Josh Allen and will be favored big if he can play. Feel like gambling on his availability? Read More
November 11, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 10 Trends: Colts, Giants UNDER
See our Week 10 NFL betting trends wrap featuring terrible 49ers home trends and ugly Seattle @ Green Bay streaks. Read More
November 10, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Atlanta Carolina Pick, OVER total, Moore TD
This game flew OVER the total a few weeks back and the situation remains unchanged as Atlanta visits Carolina on Thursday. Read More
November 07, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Ravens Saints Pick, MNF UNDER
Both teams have long injury reports and both teams are likely to focus on the ground game. UNDER anyone?? Read More
November 04, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Rams Bucs Pick, Tampa Covers at Home
The Rams have covered 6 straight at Tampa Bay, but there are reasons to suggest that streak will end here in Week 9. Read More
November 03, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 9 NFL Trends
The Eagles are huge road chalk at Houston, but they have not been a great bet in this situation. Check out the Week 9 trends. Read More
November 02, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Eagles Texans Pick, TNF Play OVER?
Philly lays two TDs at Houston on a short week. Yes this is football, not the World Series between the same two cities. Read More
October 29, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Bengals Browns Picks, Fade Cincy on MNF
All the trends suggest Cleveland will lose. The matchup breakdown suggests the Browns can cover 3 points in the Week 8 MNF game. Read More
October 28, 2022 - Trend Dummy
49ers Rams Pick, LA Loses to SF Again
The 49ers are minus Deebo Samuel but plus with Christian McCaffrey, while the Rams are mostly minus on offense. SF is -1 on the spread and will cover at LA. Read More
October 27, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Steelers Eagles Pick, Philly Big Off Bye Week
The Steelers might be the league's worst team and they don't get enough points from oddsmakers to cover against one of the league's best. Read More
October 27, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 8 Trends: Packers, Steelers DD Dogs
Get Week 8 NFL betting trends update including several key divisional streaks and mind-blowing October trends. Read More
October 27, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Ravens Bucs Pick, Brady 3-Game Losing Streak?
Tom Brady loses three in a row? Baltimore wins again on the road? Don't bet on either of those things in the Thursday Nighter. Read More
![Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne (1) fakes taking a handoff from Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) during first quarter action. The Jacksonville Jaguars hosted the Cleveland Browns for their only home preseason game at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Florida Saturday night, August 14, 2021. The Browns led at the half 13 to 0. [Bob Self/Florida Times-Union]Jki 081421 Jagsvsbrowns 52](https://www.nationalfootballpost.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/17488573-255x155.jpg "Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne (1) fakes taking a handoff from Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) during first quarter action. The Jacksonville Jaguars hosted the Cleveland Browns for their only home preseason game at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Florida Saturday night, August 14, 2021. The Browns led at the half 13 to 0. [Bob Self/Florida Times-Union]Jki 081421 Jagsvsbrowns 52")
October 26, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Broncos Jaguars Pick, London ‘Home’ Game for Jags
Jacksonville plays its ninth London game so maybe this is a 'home' game against Denver. We see them covering three points. Read More
October 23, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Bears Patriots Pick, Harris, Meyers TD props
The Bears have lost three straight and appear headed for a fourth in New England on Monday Night. But 7.5 points leaves that hook out there as hope for Chicago. Read More
October 23, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Chiefs 49ers Pick, UNDER best bet?
KC and SF each come off losses, but the Chiefs are in better shape on the injury front. They are slight road favorites in Week 7. Read More
October 18, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 7 Trends – Titans Off Bye Within Division
The Saints continue to win games in October, but their Thursday Night trends point UNDER. Check out the Titans streaks at Indy. Read More
October 17, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Broncos Chargers Pick, LA covers MNF
Russell Wilson is limping and the Broncos have been MNF disasters going back many years. The Chargers look like a good bet here. Read More
October 17, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Saints Cardinals Pick, UNDER and Ertz
Arizona is a play-calling mess, New Orleans is an injury mess. Does the Week 7 Thursday Nighter go way UNDER? Read More
October 15, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Buffalo Kansas City Pick, Bills & UNDER?
Buffalo lost a heartbreaker here in January. A win in Week 6 won't make up for it, but it will help. Bills cover the Chiefs in KC. Read More
October 15, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Ravens vs Giants Pick, UNDER Best Bet?
The Ravens catch a good spot here with the Giants returning from England with no bye week and off an upset of Green Bay. But the bet is the total. Read More
October 11, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Week 6 NFL Betting Trends
Trend Dummy finds angles for Week 6, don't wager a penny until you make sure there are no evil trends waiting to wreck your bet. Read More
October 11, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Washington Chicago Pick, Back Bears on TNF?
We have two choices when two bad teams collide - don't bet at all or bet small on the bad home team. That means the Bears over Commanders. Read More
October 09, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Raiders Chiefs Pick, MNF Goes OVER
KC has been pounding the Raiders for years and give 7 points in the Week 5 MNF game - we see more of the same and an OVER bet. Read More
October 08, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Eagles Cardinals Pick, Philly to Cover
Philly is 4-0, while Arizona is luck to not be 0-4. On paper, this is one-sided and easy money at 5 points but we don't play on paper. Read More
October 07, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Pittsburgh Steelers Buffalo Bills Pick – Lay the Wood
In betting school, they warn you against backing huge favorites. This Week 5 Steelers-Bills game is different, ignore the rule. Read More
October 05, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Colts Broncos Pick, UNDER on TNF?
Two underachieving teams, two shitty offenses, lots of UNDER trends - does Denver-Indianapolis go UNDER on Week 5 TNF? Read More
September 30, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Rams 49ers Betting Prediction, MNF Dog & UNDER?
The Rams start to turn the Tide on the 49ers, after getting rolled for multiple seasons. LA can win outright here in the Week 4 MNF game. Read More
September 28, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Buffalo Baltimore Pick, Bills Blowout
Buffalo is too good to lose two in a row, even in a tough environment at Baltimore. They will cover easily in Week 4. Read More
September 15, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Miami Baltimore Pick, UNDER the play?
Baltimore had dominated Miami before getting smacked last season. The Ravens are small home chalk but the total is the best bet. Read More
September 06, 2022 - Trend Dummy
NFL MVP Betting Odds
NFL MVP odds always generate discussion and plenty of wagering each NFL preseason. See who the NFL MVP favorites and darkhorses are this season. Read More
August 30, 2022 - Trend Dummy
College football betting trends Week 1 2022
Notre Dame almost never wins as double-digit dogs, but they are catching 17 points at Ohio State - plenty of room to lose and still cover. Read More
August 29, 2022 - Trend Dummy
West Virginia Pitt Pick, UNDER 51?
Pitt opens as the No. 17 ranked team but West Virginia aims to knock them down early, just like in the old Backyard Brawl days. Read More
February 02, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Super Bowl Parlays: FanDuel Bets, Props
Parlays can be fun, they can also be super profitable. FanDuel's early lineup of Super Bowl parlays features stars of Super Bowl 56. Read More
January 31, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Super Bowl 56 Betting Trends
Super Bowl 56 trends favor the underdogs overall and Cincy specifically, but the Rams head-to-head and as chalk. Read More
January 30, 2022 - Trend Dummy
49ers Rams Pick, NFC Title Game Upset
Can the 49ers make it lucky 7 wins in a row vs the Rams? History says yes, trends say yes and the point spread is tempting. Read More
January 19, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Rams Buccaneers Pick, Total Too High?
Is the Bucs Rams total too high? Can the Rams repeat their Week 3 win over Tampa? Trends point to one outcome, get the pick. Read More
January 15, 2022 - Trend Dummy
Cardinals Rams Prediction, LA Cruises to Win
The Rams have the superior team, even with Arizona getting key players back from injury. Neither team covers in the post-season, so.... Read More
January 12, 2022 - Trend Dummy
49ers Cowboys Pick, Dallas Small Home Faves
Dallas is a small home favorite and we predict this line with climb during the week. Bet the Cowboys -3? Trend Dummy weighs in. Read More
