Dec 11, 2022; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) follows through on a pass before the start of the game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Conference Championship Betting Picks

We’ve been here to guide you with weekly picks against the spread every week throughout the 2022 NFL season. Here are two more for conference championship weekend as Kansas City hosts Cincinnati as 1-point home underdogs and the San Francisco 49ers as small dogs in the NFC title game at Philadelphia.

Odds are midweek at Draft Kings, who continue to offer a super Bous Bets promotion for new players!

Cincinnati Bengals (-1) at Kansas City Chiefs

The Bengals just keep winning and Joe Burrow is now 3-0 career against Patrick Mah0mes. But can these road warriors make it 4-0 and take down the Chiefs again?

The Cincy offensive line held up nicely against the Bills but can a makeshift line continue dominating a run game while also protecting Burrow from a nasty Chiefs pass rush? So many questions and the answers will come from the apparently manageable ankle sprain of the aforementioned Mahomes.

KC is the top seed and hungry for a return trip to the Super Bowl. Mahomes has weapons and an iron will to play and succeed here, we see them winning outright someway somehow.

Prediction: Chiefs 28, Bengals 26

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)

Jalen Hurts is 7-0 ATS in his career as a single-digit home fave, and I expect that perfection to continue Sunday as the Eagles lay a small number here.

The Eagles are 19-2 SU in their past 21 games as favorites and have the aggressive defense to finally rattle the supposedly unflappable rookie QB Brock Purdy. Most of the trends point to San Francisco and their 13-1 ATS run in January games and 19-3 ATS streak in 22 conference games are eye-popping.

But in a one-game-take-all situation, a hungry home team that dominated most of the season and which boasts terrific talent on both sides of the ball is our pick to handle a similarly talented 49ers squad. The main difference is not the weather or the trends – its at QB where Jalen Hurts is a proven commodity and dual threat.

Prediction: Eagles 23, 49ers 20

Brad Gagnon has been passionate about both sports and mass media since he was in diapers -- a passion that won't die until he's in them again. He was a lead contributor to an earlier incarnation of and was happy to return when new management revived the brand in 2020. Based in Toronto, he's covered the NFL since 2008 and has been a national NFL writer at Bleacher Report since 2012. He despises all 32 NFL teams equally but remains a fan of the Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He can be reached at
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Archived NFL Conference Championship picks article from Jan. 26, 2022


Last week, I wrongly predicted that the Bengals’ breakout season would hit a wall in the divisional playoffs and that the Chiefs’ reign atop the AFC would suffer a similar fate the following day. Both teams overcame those potential obstacles, but now I’d be happy to take advantage of a single-score spread with the juggernaut Chiefs at home.

Kansas City deserves the benefit of the doubt to a much larger degree than Cincinnati. The Chiefs have been here, done this. And while Cincinnati can sneak up on anybody, we’re still looking at a middle-of-the-pack team in terms of DVOA with extremely limited big-game experience.

This stage will be a lot larger than last weekend’s in Nashville. I’m doubling down on the idea that Joe Burrow and Co. have maxed out their progress for 2021 and will suffer a one-sided defeat Sunday afternoon in K.C.


I don’t believe in either quarterback, but I do think the 49ers have some obvious edges here.

First, Jimmy Garoppolo at least has a lot more big-game experience than Matthew Stafford, and the 49ers offense is much less reliant on him than L.A.’s is on Stafford.

Second, the 49ers are the hotter team in general. They’re riding a four-game winning streak that includes an impressive comeback win in Los Angeles. The Rams were lucky to hang on as they choked against the Buccaneers last weekend.

Finally, the Rams don’t have much of a home-field advantage at SoFi Stadium and the 49ers have a strong fan base within the state. San Francisco wins this thing outright.

NFL Conference Championship Betting Picks – bet now at Draft Kings


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