Dec 3, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) during player introductions against the San Francisco 49ers at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Conference Championship Betting Picks

The Eagles and Chiefs are eyeing a rematch of Super Bowl 57 but the Bills and Commanders plan to bite as underdogs. Check out the NFL Conference Championships betting picks with lines as of Tuesday at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Commanders @ Eagles -6 – Play Eagles | Matchup Report

Great news in Philly is that stud rookie corner Quinyon Mitchell should play which makes life more difficult for Terry McLaurin. And great news that Shawn Huchuli will ref the game as the Eagles are 6-1 when he has the whistle (just kidding, sort of).

Philly has the superior OL and DL and the playoffs are supposedly won in the trenches. If so, the Eagles can protect Jalen Hurts while blasting holes for Saquon Barkley. On the defensive side, Jalen Carter and his pals plan to disrupt the awesome rookie QB Jayden Daniels.

Hurts was knocked out of the last meeting, the lone Philly loss in 15 weeks. He tweaked his knee vs the Rams but plans to play. The Eagles have won 9 straight and 17 of 21 at home while also owning a 12-4 SU mark vs Washington. But they are just 3-7 ATS as playoff chalk.

Regardless, the Commanders luck has to run out soon and this should be it, facing the league’s best defense and trying to stop Barkley.

Bills @ Chiefs -2 – Play Bills | Matchup Report 

It feels a little foolish to be betting against the Chiefs at home, but Josh Allen seems primed to finally vanquish Patrick Mahomes in the playoffs. KC has won 12 straight at home but is just 1-5 ATS past 6 times at Arrowhead. With a tiny spread, the cover should come for the winner.

And that is where history works against the Bills, having just won twice as a playoff dog since 1980. Of course, last week was one time, maybe it happens again.

Buffalo is 8-3 ATS their past 11 trips to KC and this feels like the game where the Mahomes magic, good luck or referee intervention won’t matter. We play the Bills to advance against the Eagles.

 

 

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Archived NFL Conference championships betting picks article from Jan. 24, 2023

We’ve been here to guide you with weekly picks against the spread every week throughout the NFL season. Here are two more for conference championship weekend as Kansas City hosts Cincinnati as 1-point home underdogs and the San Francisco 49ers as small dogs in the NFC title game at Philadelphia.

Odds are midweek at FanDuel Sportsbook, who continue to offer a super Bonus Bets promotion for new players!

Cincinnati Bengals (-1) at Kansas City Chiefs

The Bengals just keep winning and Joe Burrow is now 3-0 career against Patrick Mah0mes. But can these road warriors make it 4-0 and take down the Chiefs again?

The Cincy offensive line held up nicely against the Bills but can a makeshift line continue dominating a run game while also protecting Burrow from a nasty Chiefs pass rush? So many questions and the answers will come from the apparently manageable ankle sprain of the aforementioned Mahomes.

KC is the top seed and hungry for a return trip to the Super Bowl. Mahomes has weapons and an iron will to play and succeed here, we see them winning outright someway somehow.

Prediction: Chiefs 28, Bengals 26

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)

Jalen Hurts is 7-0 ATS in his career as a single-digit home fave, and I expect that perfection to continue Sunday as the Eagles lay a small number here.

The Eagles are 19-2 SU in their past 21 games as favorites and have the aggressive defense to finally rattle the supposedly unflappable rookie QB Brock Purdy. Most of the trends point to San Francisco and their 13-1 ATS run in January games and 19-3 ATS streak in 22 conference games are eye-popping.

But in a one-game-take-all situation, a hungry home team that dominated most of the season and which boasts terrific talent on both sides of the ball is our pick to handle a similarly talented 49ers squad. The main difference is not the weather or the trends – its at QB where Jalen Hurts is a proven commodity and dual threat.

Prediction: Eagles 23, 49ers 20

Brad Gagnon has been passionate about both sports and mass media since he was in diapers -- a passion that won't die until he's in them again. He was a lead contributor to an earlier incarnation of NationalFootballPost.com and was happy to return when new management revived the brand in 2020. Based in Toronto, he's covered the NFL since 2008 and has been a national NFL writer at Bleacher Report since 2012. He despises all 32 NFL teams equally but remains a fan of the Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He can be reached at Brad@NationalFootballPost.com

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Archived NFL Conference Championship picks article from Jan. 26, 2022

CINCINNATI BENGALS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-7): CHIEFS

Last week, I wrongly predicted that the Bengals’ breakout season would hit a wall in the divisional playoffs and that the Chiefs’ reign atop the AFC would suffer a similar fate the following day. Both teams overcame those potential obstacles, but now I’d be happy to take advantage of a single-score spread with the juggernaut Chiefs at home.

Kansas City deserves the benefit of the doubt to a much larger degree than Cincinnati. The Chiefs have been here, done this. And while Cincinnati can sneak up on anybody, we’re still looking at a middle-of-the-pack team in terms of DVOA with extremely limited big-game experience.

This stage will be a lot larger than last weekend’s in Nashville. I’m doubling down on the idea that Joe Burrow and Co. have maxed out their progress for 2021 and will suffer a one-sided defeat Sunday afternoon in K.C.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS (-3.5): 49ERS

I don’t believe in either quarterback, but I do think the 49ers have some obvious edges here.

First, Jimmy Garoppolo at least has a lot more big-game experience than Matthew Stafford, and the 49ers offense is much less reliant on him than L.A.’s is on Stafford.

Second, the 49ers are the hotter team in general. They’re riding a four-game winning streak that includes an impressive comeback win in Los Angeles. The Rams were lucky to hang on as they choked against the Buccaneers last weekend.

Finally, the Rams don’t have much of a home-field advantage at SoFi Stadium and the 49ers have a strong fan base within the state. San Francisco wins this thing outright.

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