We’ve been here to guide you with weekly picks against the spread every week throughout the 2022 NFL season. Here are two more for conference championship weekend as Kansas City hosts Cincinnati as 1-point home underdogs and the San Francisco 49ers as small dogs in the NFC title game at Philadelphia.
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Cincinnati Bengals (-1) at Kansas City Chiefs
The Bengals just keep winning and Joe Burrow is now 3-0 career against Patrick Mah0mes. But can these road warriors make it 4-0 and take down the Chiefs again?
The Cincy offensive line held up nicely against the Bills but can a makeshift line continue dominating a run game while also protecting Burrow from a nasty Chiefs pass rush? So many questions and the answers will come from the apparently manageable ankle sprain of the aforementioned Mahomes.
KC is the top seed and hungry for a return trip to the Super Bowl. Mahomes has weapons and an iron will to play and succeed here, we see them winning outright someway somehow.
Prediction: Chiefs 28, Bengals 26
San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)
Jalen Hurts is 7-0 ATS in his career as a single-digit home fave, and I expect that perfection to continue Sunday as the Eagles lay a small number here.
The Eagles are 19-2 SU in their past 21 games as favorites and have the aggressive defense to finally rattle the supposedly unflappable rookie QB Brock Purdy. Most of the trends point to San Francisco and their 13-1 ATS run in January games and 19-3 ATS streak in 22 conference games are eye-popping.
But in a one-game-take-all situation, a hungry home team that dominated most of the season and which boasts terrific talent on both sides of the ball is our pick to handle a similarly talented 49ers squad. The main difference is not the weather or the trends – its at QB where Jalen Hurts is a proven commodity and dual threat.
Prediction: Eagles 23, 49ers 20
